wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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The op runs and ensembles from the Euro and GFS werent cold past day 7/8 today. It will probably show something different tonight.
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Today's GFS run is quite mild long range FWIW
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Its one crazy backdoor front. 70s to 40s back to 70s in 72 hours.
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That's wild, hopefully it makes up for lost time soon.
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CAD is hard to predict
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I hope the entire forum gets snow
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That would turn me as optimistic as you for at least 3 winters
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Just a warning criteria snow (4"+) thats not much really.
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Thanks. There's opportunity with Canada remaining cold.
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It reminds me a little of January 2022
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We have gotten decent snows with a -PNA. I will see what research I can find
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And it's ok to disagree
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I think they have been about like they always have. Never perfect but a decent guide to use if you take a blended approach. The late December cold snap has been showing up for a few days now in varying degrees. Look at this run from Thursday night.
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They haven't been that bad though. They called this warm spell way back in early December.
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So disregard models and ensembles unless it's a few days out?
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I think the next really interesting time period is from Jan 7-12. If we can keep that -NAO we might have a real shot then.
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Not for this week
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I think this is what's most frustrating for me. We finally have a great Atlantic setup but the Pacific is screwing us from getting a snowy pattern.
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21 here much colder than I expected
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4 of the top 5 record highs on Christmas in Asheville are in the past 10 years.....
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The big question for me is, what happens later in January and Feb/early March? Do we continue the trend of early springs or can the -NAO make an appearance later in the season when the wavelengths are shorter and the big dog potential goes up?
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If anyone was wondering, last nights fantasy storm is gone on today's Euro. Just another brief cooldown before warming up to start the New Year!
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We could use some rain, just don't want to 30s and 40s and cloudy CAD days
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And after that period it looks to go right back to warm
