wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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I'm glad you are hopeful because I know you are knowledgeable.
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The subtropical jet has been nino like all winter.
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I miss Packbacker and Widremann. They were always good for a dose of reality.
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I posted the EPS earlier and will do so again when i see the new run. It was showing similar results to the op last night
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Are you not disappointed by the way next week seems to be evolving? The cold is nothing extraordinary and transient. It then turns back into a zonal pattern late in the week with more rain. Not what everyone was saying a few days ago.. The MJO has to be part of the reasoning.
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Yea, the cold comes back maybe by hour 360. What could go wrong?
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Day 10 of the Euro certainly doesn't look like the cold is rebuilding quickly..
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Sure would be nice to have some COLD air around..
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It also has nothing that resembles "snowy pattern"
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I'm not making anything up, I reinforced my point with maps like you did with a graph. The key is if modifies in time to rain and the western ridge is continually getting beat down. The pattern we are entering does not look like a good one for snow but we can always hope
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You can have your GFS, I will take my EPS and Op Euro thanks.
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Yep
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i think your prediction has a good chance at coming to fruition, this pattern "change" is nothing more than a 3 day colder than average spel
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Yea this is turning into a fail quickly. Better hope the cold reloads after day 12 because its gone after day 7 on the Euro and EPS.
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We are now in bargaining stage of grief I think with depression coming quickly around the corner...
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The MJO isnt looking as promising now and may head back into phase 6 or the COD. The cold will probably relax in late Jan either way after a week or so of at or below average.
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Well the OP Euro does show moisture coming after day 10 but it will likely be rain
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Low country special?
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The line was uneventful here in McDowell, but the rain and flash flooding have been the bigger concern.
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Yea the OP runs looks like crap on the GFS and Euro
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I thought the EPS looked warmer overall but could be wrong
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The OP Euro is still not bringing down the cold like the OP GFS, hug the EPS for now
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Can't wait to see all the people in here after the cold keeps getting delayed a few days on the models
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No but it's another piece of the puzzle. I think the GFS is bringing the colder pattern in too early by 3 or 4 days at least. It won't be until Around MLK day or later when we could see a decent winter pattern.
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Yea I'm not buying it yet either. All the indices are still in the wrong places and the operational Euro is still infatuated with keeping our friend, the SE ridge and delaying any cold air arrival.
