wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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It also has nothing that resembles "snowy pattern"
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I'm not making anything up, I reinforced my point with maps like you did with a graph. The key is if modifies in time to rain and the western ridge is continually getting beat down. The pattern we are entering does not look like a good one for snow but we can always hope
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You can have your GFS, I will take my EPS and Op Euro thanks.
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Yep
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i think your prediction has a good chance at coming to fruition, this pattern "change" is nothing more than a 3 day colder than average spel
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Yea this is turning into a fail quickly. Better hope the cold reloads after day 12 because its gone after day 7 on the Euro and EPS.
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We are now in bargaining stage of grief I think with depression coming quickly around the corner...
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The MJO isnt looking as promising now and may head back into phase 6 or the COD. The cold will probably relax in late Jan either way after a week or so of at or below average.
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Well the OP Euro does show moisture coming after day 10 but it will likely be rain
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Low country special?
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The line was uneventful here in McDowell, but the rain and flash flooding have been the bigger concern.
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Yea the OP runs looks like crap on the GFS and Euro
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I thought the EPS looked warmer overall but could be wrong
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The OP Euro is still not bringing down the cold like the OP GFS, hug the EPS for now
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Can't wait to see all the people in here after the cold keeps getting delayed a few days on the models
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No but it's another piece of the puzzle. I think the GFS is bringing the colder pattern in too early by 3 or 4 days at least. It won't be until Around MLK day or later when we could see a decent winter pattern.
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Yea I'm not buying it yet either. All the indices are still in the wrong places and the operational Euro is still infatuated with keeping our friend, the SE ridge and delaying any cold air arrival.
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The bad news is the Euro really never gets us cold in the next 10 days in last nights run..
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That's not a wedge...
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Well at least the Euro did cool us off this run at day 10 after a deluge of rain.
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If this pattern continues, it's only a matter of time before major flooding issues in western NC and SC. Already had some mud/rock slides with the last system and it will just get worse.
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Euro sounding the alarm for flooding across Western NC, SC and the Tennessee valley.
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Shetley is that you?
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Euro has 4 inches of rain along the escarpment next 10 days.. Luckily the next 5 days are fairly dry before the deluge sets in..
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Won't be long until the "maybe a bowling ball ULL in Late Feb or March will save us" or the 1960 redux! And definitely the "well it was a very mild winter before the blizzard of 1993 too".
