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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    We can definitely score with the upcoming pattern. I just want to play devils advocate with some of the things that can go wrong. We all know how easy it is to mess up winter storms for most of us excluding some higher elevations. It's overall a good look but I would like it even more we can get a little more ridging in the west.
  2. wncsnow
    It REALLY doesn't want to get cold east of the Apps on the Op Euro and GFS to some extent. Something to monitor with the models trending toward a colder northwest and La Nina still going. If the Op Euro is right most of next week is in the 50s for the NC Piedmont and foothills.
  3. wncsnow
    Delaying again?
  4. wncsnow
    Canadian agrees that day 9/10 system is a cutter and too warm for east coast.
  5. wncsnow
    TN and OH Valley and deep south do well this run. But each system is mostly too warm for snow for NC/SC/GA
  6. wncsnow
    Slight SE ridge still showing up on op models around day 8/9. Can still workout for interior and mountain areas but not if its pronounced.
  7. wncsnow
    Last night's op Euro shows how we can fail. Not enough of a ridge in the west leads to over amplication and rain then the real cold and dry hits right before Christmas.
  8. wncsnow
    Could be fun times ahead
  9. wncsnow
    The Euro isn't even close. With the low pressure up in the northern plains its highly unlikely.
  10. wncsnow
    I know one thing.. The ski resorts are going to be hurting if the pattern doesn't change soon.
  11. wncsnow
    Yep the "pattern change" keeps getting delayed over and over again on the EPS. It was December 10- then the 13th, now it may not be until the 19th and looks muted. I think the best chances for snow this winter may be later in the season in February or March. Not typical in a Nina but this one should be dying by then.
  12. wncsnow
    One thing is for sure, it's going to be really wet this month. Hopefully we can get the cold sooner or later..
  13. wncsnow
    It would be nice if they can bring in some cold first. Moisture doesn't seem like it will be an issue with the active Pacific
  14. wncsnow
    The Pacific is going to screw up the -NAO as it often does.
  15. wncsnow
    Op Models still look rainy and warm here through mid month
  16. wncsnow
    Op Models look like crap still. SE ridge holding strong.
  17. wncsnow
    Are we still expecting a pattern change in mid December?
  18. wncsnow
    Long range seems to be up in the air at this point. Some models showing a typical La Nina pattern, others show more blocking and cold air around. We'll see what's right.
  19. wncsnow
    17 for the new coldest low of the season.
  20. wncsnow
    Pretty good signal for a decent NWFS event next Friday/Saturday
  21. wncsnow
    18 this morning. Coldest of the season so far.
  22. wncsnow
    Wind is picking up as a nasty cell heads this way. Flash flood warning now in effect
  23. wncsnow
    We got some serious cells earlier that caused some flash flooding. 3 inches of rain so far
  24. wncsnow
    High mountains could get some wintry precip but there seems to be just enough of a SE ridge (and its mid November) to keep it too warm for most. Wetter pattern looks pretty certain unless the NW flow is too strong.
  25. wncsnow
    Areas right along the Blue Ridge escarpment got pounded. Some places in Watauga actually got 4 inches of rain.
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