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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Look at all this rain on the GFS.. if only it could get cold again
  2. Canadian went from suppressed to cold rain for a lot of us, GFS went from a good look to a torch. Probably not wise to bet against this persistent SE Ridge
  3. It's super borderline for NC but a lot better than the GFS
  4. I should have went to bed early. Totally different than 18Z.
  5. GFS looks a mess to be honest. No cold air around and the timing of the system keeps moving up
  6. GFS looks like it might be too amped/warm, let's see where it goes. The ICON looked better but only goes to 180.
  7. That's me. I do think areas outlined this run are favored(climo)
  8. Doesn't get much closer than that for most of NC for an area wide snow.
  9. Ends up squashed but I take squashed over amped.
  10. Going back to the question of can their be an ice storm late in the season, here are a few more examples since 1970 in NC
  11. I'm going to give it 3 more weeks before I'm totally done
  12. GFS looks like it might be warmer and amped this run
  13. I have seen ice storms in March here. Not sure about Triangle but it's not THAT late in the season
  14. We were 24, 23 and 27 the last 3 mornings all with highs in the upper 50s to near 60.
  15. I'm cautiously optimistic we will score in the next 2 or 3 weeks. Obviously mountains have the best shot but north of 40 folks in the foothills could do well too
  16. The GFS is awful. When you are behind the Canadian it's a real shame. Idk why our supercomputers can't come up with better data/modeling.
  17. If we can pull out a 2 week stretch like February 2015 I think a lot of us 40 north folks would be happy. That winter was pretty boring until late and was an El Nino.
  18. I'm no GaWx but I did some research on late season snowstorms during El Nino's since 2005. There were a few other small events but these are the main ones.
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