wncsnow

I think areas closer to the Blue Ridge will do well due to the flow from the SE/uplift but there could be a precip minima near the I-77 corridor or a little east of there.

I like 50-75 miles east of there similar to Google. The 12Z GFS and ICON moved east.

I think the worst is Sat. after the game but I expect there to be upslope showers by kickoff at App. I think the escarpment gets 4-6 easily from this maybe more. We should be able to handle that with the antecedent conditions being fairly dry. Anything more than 8 and its trouble.

Euro has a much deeper storm this run compared to last.

Euro AI looks similar to the UK and Google

If that system goes west of us we will get SE flow and orographical uplift on the Blue Ridge. I could easily see 4-6" of rain with more along the crest.

The southern stream is still dead. It should wake up for real in the next month or 2

The rain amounts are definitely a lot lower on most models. Looks like less than an inch for most of WNC now and possibly less than .50 for the northern foothills and piedmont.

54 at the house. Stayed cloudy/foggy

We've only gotten 1.82 since the event started a few days ago but I'm not complaining

The NAM is gone too early. It still has some gas in the tank. I can already foresee this winter having a CAD situation where we are wishing to see what the NAM is showing.

CAD seems likely. I'm more interested in what may potentially develop in the Gulf or off the SE Coast. Euro and other models hinting at something. Potential heavy rains.

1.88 in the last 24 hours

Not ideal

Thanks for reminding me I didnt update it