wncsnow

Carolina Hemlocks? My family moved from Europe to that area and have been there since the 1830s. Used to be some of the best brown trout fishing from the Hemlocks down to Halls Chapel Church. I have fished or floated every inch of that river that's accessible. My heart was and still is broken to see how it looks after Helene

Close but no cigar

Trough is too far east on today's Op Euro but its close to something around the 7th

Get that STJ going and cold nearby and eventually we will get more than a cold rain

Hope you do well. I haven't caught much there since Helene

Need the NAO to trend a bit stronger negative to help switch up the Pacific. There's positive signs, especially after the first week of January. Getting that subtropical jet going will be huge.

Just to temper things a little. I like middle month but maybe we can get a light event the first 10 days of January.

And remember last winter when you told me you would be shoveling your driveway when the Gulf Coast got hammered? Everyone is wrong sometime.

There are some positive changes but its far from a slam dunk. The EPS is still not quite cold enough for most for the 4th-7th. The Op GFS looks terrible. The GEFS isnt there yet either.

We'll see what happens. Cold and wintry is still far from a certainty. There are positive signs out west but it could trend the other way

You know its not good when we are relying on the JMA seasonal.. Now that Christmas is over, lets get real about the pattern. It's pretty obvious we are punting until at least January 10. Its not a torch but more of a wash rinse repeat of cutter, brief cool down, warm up, rain. Most seasoned mets and long range forecasts are pointing to the period of January 12-20 for our next real shot of snow. Will that materialize? Who knows but we are about to start wasting prime climo. I don't see a January 2022 repeat next month. Maybe we get a week or 2 period but 2022 was cold for most of the month with multiple snows in different parts of the state.

75 for the high. Has to be an all time record..

Merry Christmas everyone. Us foothills folks deserve a February 1969 redux for Christmas

Op Euro not impressed with winter weather chances the first week of the month.

High of 72 so far..