wncsnow

And it's quicker coming in Friday night/Saturday am. Only 5 and a half days out...

Ouch

Almost exactly like the AIFS...

Euro is later with cold push and quicker with precip. Massive ice/sleet storm for most

Euro AI also shows more of a cutter but strong CAD so lots of ice.. some of the models have trended towards dumping more cold in the west/midwest. That would not be ideal

UK shows how it can go wrong. Little bit of SE Ridge and less blocking turns into cold rain and tears

Canadian is a major winter storm too.

Will it be 1 or 2 waves? Lots to be resolved

I'm going to take a bit of a different approach to next weekend. I'm going to (try) not to get too high or low on each model runs and rely on ensembles until we get to Wednesday or so. We just need to keep the signal until about then and mix in some big OP runs.

A big ice storm is very possible, maybe even likely for someone in the CAD area. Major questions still are- 1. Low pressure track 2. Strength of High pressure, depth of cold air. 3. Blocking. Need it to stop it from amplifying too much and giving us a rainstorm.

BAM has been struggling lately. But I too thought it was a better setup for the mid Atlantic. We'll see what happens from here on out.

The new EPS mean might be the highest I have ever seen...

This might be the coldest temperature output I have ever seen for Asheville on the Euro

Still snowing

Plenty cold enough with strong CAD.. only 7 days (or slightly less) away. Could be a long week of model watching.