wncsnow

The UK makes sense climatologically

Canadian is gonna be more amped

GFS is a big hit

The start is less than 5 days away which is kind of crazy

IF the high is anywhere close as strong as being modeled, it should continue to shift south slightly.

It does look like a Miller A/B hybrid, which we have done well with recently in western NC. Jan 2022, Jan 30, 2010, and December 2002 were somewhat similar setups. https://climate.ncsu.edu/blog/2015/12/nc-extremes-an-ice-storm-for-the-ages/

My opinion- this storm is looking like like your classic old school CAD overrunning that we haven't seen in a long time. 3-5 inches of snow, and inch or 2 of sleet and .25 of ice that turns into an iceberg for days. Thats just what it looks like right now for us foothills folks. More snow the further NE you go, more ice toward SC.

16 here this morning. Ground will be cold for anything frozen that falls.

Ice storm looks like the likely outcome looking at the AI models. We need that high to trend stronger and quicker.

And it's quicker coming in Friday night/Saturday am. Only 5 and a half days out...

Ouch

Almost exactly like the AIFS...

Euro is later with cold push and quicker with precip. Massive ice/sleet storm for most

Euro AI also shows more of a cutter but strong CAD so lots of ice.. some of the models have trended towards dumping more cold in the west/midwest. That would not be ideal

UK shows how it can go wrong. Little bit of SE Ridge and less blocking turns into cold rain and tears