wncsnow

Kinda meh to me. Some models improved, others stepped back. Weathernext will probably cut amounts again.

If it keeps trending east, no. We can't catch a positive trend within 4 days to save our lives

Fine you asked for it

I don't like seeing the UK go to an almost whiff. It did well last system and from my experience, does well with phasing. I definitely do not trust the GFS. Its almost always playing from behind but this is a very tricky situation that all depends on small changes. With the last storm I think both GFS and Euro struggled in different aspects. The Euro caught on to the more amped idea earlier but was terrible with CAD. The GFS took way too long to figure out the storm track but modeled the CAD better. As @BooneWX said, we may have to wait until CAMs range for this one. The upper low will have some smiling and some swearing to never trust a model again.

Should be higher ratios if we can get the moisture.

Trends seem clear that its all or nothing on the ULL enhancement. Coastal is too far offshore.

Weather next continues the drier trend. What winter system hasnt trended dry for most of the Carolinas the past few years? This last system went from over 2 inches to .65 total here.

6 here

AI Euro is slightly weaker and less precipitation. Not really east just not as negative tilt. Meh

Also that's 10-1 it would be higher ratios especially in western NC/SC

Looks like the weather next eh?

UK coming in hot

Let's hope the Canadian is as accurate as it was for last storm.

Things to look for are more west trends with that polar energy, less of a kicker wave behind it to prevent it from digging/going negative tilt, and a stronger southern stream wave (or piece of another Baja low). The Baja taketh and maybe giveth this time?

We just had one of the biggest sleet storms ever here, avoided a power nightmare, and looking at a low in the single digits. What happened ain't so bad. It was a winter storm for most of NC and SC just not snow.