wncsnow

Just a warning criteria snow (4"+) thats not much really.

Thanks. There's opportunity with Canada remaining cold.

It reminds me a little of January 2022

We have gotten decent snows with a -PNA. I will see what research I can find

And it's ok to disagree

I think they have been about like they always have. Never perfect but a decent guide to use if you take a blended approach. The late December cold snap has been showing up for a few days now in varying degrees. Look at this run from Thursday night.

They haven't been that bad though. They called this warm spell way back in early December.

So disregard models and ensembles unless it's a few days out?

I think the next really interesting time period is from Jan 7-12. If we can keep that -NAO we might have a real shot then.

Not for this week

I think this is what's most frustrating for me. We finally have a great Atlantic setup but the Pacific is screwing us from getting a snowy pattern.

21 here much colder than I expected

4 of the top 5 record highs on Christmas in Asheville are in the past 10 years.....

The big question for me is, what happens later in January and Feb/early March? Do we continue the trend of early springs or can the -NAO make an appearance later in the season when the wavelengths are shorter and the big dog potential goes up?

If anyone was wondering, last nights fantasy storm is gone on today's Euro. Just another brief cooldown before warming up to start the New Year!