wncsnow

Yeah we are in the least snowy 6 year period in recorded history. Only 1 winter storm warning criteria storm in that time frame. Only other time frame thats close is 97-02.

Yep, area wide 6-8 inch storm would have been amazing. Maybe Friday can still work but it's super marginal.

Yep about the same here. We need the rain though

Thought this was interesting. Some mets think that Arctic air masses will modify even more this winter due to the Hudson Bay being almost ice free and having less ice than almost any other year ever

Stronger southern stream but weaker CAD high and our pesky SE Ridge is still fighting back enough to mess up the cold air transport

Euro is more amped as well but too warm for most of NC but some ice in CAD regions. Some snow in VA.

UK is quite amped with the Friday system and has ice for WNC and some snow in VA.

Yep NW flow. Mountains could get some clipper snow but cold and windy for most

Need the first wave to take over and come in quicker for more frozen precip like the Euro shows.

Usually in these setups its above 2.5k or 3k ft. Sometimes it will be nothing until your close to the top of Old Fort Mountain.

My perspective on the next few weeks- Thursday night/Friday overrunning is the one to watch. Gotta get that northern stream to calm down to allow the southern energy to amplify enough to bring in moisture. The earlier it comes in the better. After that threat, the northern stream looks to be dominant for the next week or so with mostly clipper type systems and at or below average temps for most of the Carolinas. We would need one of those to dig far enough south to bring areas outside of the mountains any snow. After about next weekend, I think the pattern relaxes some and we warm back up to 50s/60s for most and the pattern resets again around the holidays.

I think the models are having trouble keying on which piece of energy to focus on being the main show. It has an overrunning look to me if we can get that CAD to build in stronger. I like the early wave being stronger as the cold is closer then. If it waits until Friday night/Saturday it will likely be ZR or cold rain.

Euro with a little hope Friday morning?

I think its time I took a break since I seem to be coming off the way I am.

You think the Euro and EPS data isn't useful when its the model with the best verification scores?