wncsnow

Finally dipped into the teens here

It dropped quickly here the past couple hours. Down to 27 now.

Still above freezing here. Down to 35.

I don't see much to be excited about. CAD could keep us from torching but no winter weather threats on the horizon.

Yeah its 38 here and breezy but it was supposed to be below freezing by now here

Slowly dropping as the cold air bleeds over the Blue Ridge

We just need the Pacific to be neutral not super negative

Beautiful 60 degrees out

Dry air+downsloping= no chance

It's been 5 of the past 6 winters with La Nina's I believe. The one strong El Nino was a terrible winter for snow lovers too.

I have conflicting thoughts honestly. On one hand, the cold seems poised to stay on this side of the globe. Canada is frigid and looks to stay that way through at least the next month. We need a mechanism to keep driving it south. The Pacific is the main culprit here. Its roaring and record flooding is occurring in the NW. It can take a long time for the Pacific jet to behave the way we want it to after setting up like this. A lot of Mets who I respect still think January could be OK for us. There's a lot of uncertainty maybe more than normal due to the conflicting factors I have detailed. Another worry I have is the lack of a southern jet showing up in tne long range. A lot of the models and ensembles are going very dry for the rest of this month. My biggest worry is this pattern sets in longer than we want and the next thing you know its early February. Most of us haven't had an impactful winter storm in February or March in over a decade. I'm not sure it can come a major snowstorm late in the season anymore at our latitude.

It turned out to be a weak NWFS. Not even a dusting in west AVL or Black Mountain.

Yep, we have seen this song and dance many times.

Strong gusts in Asheville with showers

And we can't get a trough to center in the right place to save our lives the last 6 or 7 years. There is a tendency for them to center over the lakes or the NE when we need them further west. We could possibly score with that scenario and a strong CAD but the NAO hasnt helped either and the cold scoots away.