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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. That was the whole flu after they did all the normal excess death analysis. We are still in the middle of covid so I'm not sure how you can compare.
  2. Yes. I know. Covid is already worse in the US than the three pandemic flus since 1918 (1957 1968 and 2009).
  3. Well there hasn't been something this bad in a 100 years so maybe we have a little while.
  4. I'm glad you haven't been affected personally, Jim. I think things will be close to normal by next fall because of the vaccine.
  5. We know damn well what you're implying. This is part of the problem. Because it hasn't affected you personally you need to find a way to act like its not a big deal. Infections hospitalizations and deaths are rapidly increasing now whether you believe it nor not.
  6. I've posted this before but there's clearly some additional opportunity cost in targeted interventions to get us through the winter to more widespread vaccine use. Got to pass some stimulus and make people whole who are financially hurting though.
  7. Were about 23 days from 2000/deaths per day on average. Deaths have been in exponential growth for about 1 month or so.
  8. Seems like there should be so governments tax payers, and businesses don't have to choose between sickness and death or financial ruin.
  9. Canada is getting worse at this point too. We started at a lower baseline per capita but the exponential growth is substantial.
  10. I wouldn't. In fact I think they will. Transmission peaked on June 20th for the summer wave. Deaths, hospitalizations, and icu numbers basicallu doubled from that time until late July. We could stop transmission now and we would still go to 150k hospitalizations and over 2000 deaths per day in December.
  11. I think nearly all of the additional transmission this fall can be attributed to decreasing humidity. The measures that kept R near 1 during much of the summer don't do that now. Theres been little difference in mobility or in mask use over the past month. If we want to reduce transmission, there needs to be more done now than in the summer. Chance are things get worse before they better. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.11.13.20231472v1
  12. Not an expert on significance but 11 vs zero seems like it would be statistically significant. I appreciated that this press release was a bit more thorough than the Pfizer one...perhaps because the NIH is partially funding it.
  13. Theres a whole panel of independent scientists that will review all the study data and will be recommending to the FDA whether the vaccine should get an emergency use authorization. Approval is not given based on the required company press release.
  14. You have far more patience than I do.
  15. This is not policy or political disagreement. Were talking about basic science and conspiracy theories. I reserve the right to call someone for being anti mask and anti vax. I mean were in the middle of a pandemic. These ideas kill people.
  16. Wtf does letting me Angrysummons spew his anti vax nuttiness accomplish here? Take your green tag and shove it up your ****ing ass. Because its worthless.
  17. Lol. Good to know that its okay to be anti vax or anti mask as long as you're nice. This board is so ****ing stupid.
  18. Well there's a lot of idiots in the country. I agree.
  19. Lol @ caring about the debt. We haven't cared about the debt in forever and now in the greatest crisis of our time...now we worry about it? This is a war time spending effort.
  20. I had the flu shot a few weeks back and didn't get any side effects.
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