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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Don't discount it. Joins the rest of the party.
  2. powderfreak
    The NAM was thoroughly discounted the past couple events when it was on its own. Remember all that snowfall it was showing just a couple days ago for that long-duration rainer? Amped up into the cold sector?
  3. powderfreak
    Good bump north on the Canadian.
  4. powderfreak
    GFS is interesting. Still going through Saturday, ha. Interesting how there’s no 10:1 snow in ORH Hills but snow depth increases…
  5. powderfreak
    Longer that primary holds on the more it seems able to flood BL warmth in too.
  6. powderfreak
    6z ICON FWIW got drastically better on the coastal plain.
  7. powderfreak
    Long duration E-NE flow into that topography… it really is the first big wall encountered by the moist Atlantic maritime air. If mountains are rocks in a stream, when the water flows from the east into New England, the largest build-up of water is on the east side of the Apps. West of there is turbulent (windy/angry) flow.
  8. powderfreak
    I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now.
  9. powderfreak
    That’s a big event for a lot of NNE mtns.
  10. powderfreak
    3 feet for Pinkham Notch
  11. powderfreak
    To be honest it doesn’t matter lol. Just think it’s a marginal air mass, the 10:1 maps are over-selling it. In some cases pretty solidly over-selling it.
  12. powderfreak
    Is that the same as positive depth change?
  13. powderfreak
    To me it depends on rates. 12-15” of 10:1 snow maps over 36-48 hours of “periods of snow” probably verifies as 4-6 inches on the ground when it ends. If it’s 12-15” in 12-18 hours, it’s probably closer to that 10-12” on ground.
  14. powderfreak
    Agreed. 1,000ft is good but the lower elevations have had numerous storms where depth change nailed it pretty good. Especially up here with valley vs mountain ratios.
  15. powderfreak
    It’s been very good this season to be honest. Numerous events the depth change has been much closer to reality with so many marginal temp events. The 10:1 maps stacking up white rain that the depth maps got right at 4:1.
  16. powderfreak
    Brattleboro is essentially Greenfield, MA like Hippy said. Literally the same exact climate in the CT Valley there at the MA/VT/NH borders. Maybe even worse than Greenfield because it has slightly higher terrain east and west. Monadnocks on one side and the S. Greens on the other.
  17. powderfreak
    10:1 and then positive depth increase...
  18. powderfreak
    Pretty tight to the coast but would rip for a bit.
  19. powderfreak
  20. powderfreak
  21. powderfreak
    Basically comparing the CT Valley with the coastal plain… the northern MA coastal plain historically does better on deep layer east flow than the CT Valley in MA/CT. Climo wise it favors Essex and Middlesex counties over CEF/BDL/HFD.
  22. powderfreak
    31 mph here for gust in past half hour, definitely breezy. Wind you can hear.
  23. powderfreak
    Agreed. Basically the climo normal zone for coastal storms with marginal thermals.
  24. powderfreak
    Yeah, I want that energy and players to be onshore, on the field in data rich environments. Not saying it’ll happen but Day 5, thing could still bomb out and crush like central PA or go out to sea.
  25. powderfreak
    See I agree with you. I’d still stay climo that you want to be from you to ORH hills, Berks, and north in the usual interior elevations. Of course a CCB like that is going to crush heavy wet snow to the surface but just go climo right now.
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