powderfreak

I just saw that! NEK got crushed by that “little critter” as SNE says. Widespread 4-6” on Cocorahs.

Wow. 15F at RUT (10F at Middlebury) in the southern Champlain Valley and 60s in eastern Mass. Not sure I’ve seen a progged gradient like that. One helluva flash freeze. Keeps going... 8F at my house while windows are open in Weymouth? 50-degree spread is something else.

March 5-6, 2011 had a monster gradient and similar synoptic set up...frontal boundary draping across New England and very juicy wave moving through after overrunning. We had like an inch of rain, then ZR as the SFC chilled much faster than mid-levels, then 27” of snow on 2 more inches of QPF...and it was in the 50s in ORH.

Good weenie out type run... Look at this QPF with temps of 5F at SLK in heavy precip and 57F at IJD.

Impressive for the GFS to have surface temps so cold given that model's issues with 2-M. Even gets ice down to NE CT there on the second wave.

Probably ends up as a blizzard for SNE by the time this is all said and done. Everything seems to want to trend SE with the past like 4-5 systems. Even that run brings ORH County a half inch of ZR. The cold press is way south of the 850 lines.

From dews to 50F to two feet of snow.

It's interesting that in these smaller events I do feel like the mountain gets higher ratio snow and I think it's something that happens along the Spine. J.Spin gets more liquid on the whole but I do think we get lower ratio snow (say only 20:1 vs 40:1) and I noticed it again this morning on CoCoRAHS. When these little fluffers move through the Spine seems to really tap that snow growth and get huge fluffly flakes while in town they are still fluffy but not quite the same. Sometimes it seems like there isn't a huge difference in moisture, just higher ratio snow. But you can see the 0.03-0.04" water and then look at the snowfall differences. I tend to find that J.Spin difference at Mansfield too, where its not always just more moisture but that the flakes seem much larger and stack better. There was around 2" at the mountain by the end of the day today and it was pure air... had to be 40:1 northern stream fluffernutter stuff.

Can’t call it deep winter at all but the one redeeming value has been snow on the ground for the most part since like the 2nd week of November. 4” cumulative over past 48 hrs at home and only 6” total depth... but guess it’s white? River isn’t even frozen. Normally it’s just frozen with snow on it and animal tracks everywhere.

Some decent light snow today. About an inch on my car in 2-3 hrs at the ski area and still coming down steadily.

I know you know this, but many days that’s all you need for the wintry feel. Don’t hate on the snow showers.

Yikes. That’s like April climo here .

That was a surprisingly well articulated description, thanks. Put me in the camp that these pattern changes take a bit longer than advertised, but eventually it’ll change. The ebbs and flows of NE Winter.

I’ve heard this January 20th mentioned a lot. What happens on the 20th?

Pretty good upslope flow going on this morning. Moisture getting wrung out rather efficiently right now. Big wind blow flakes at the mountain.

Rare times when Will and Scooter are leading the optimism charge.

Looks like fairly frequent rounds of snow showers at the least over the next couple of days. Fast active flow.

So much bickering going on lately...

The radar certainly supported Sugarbush getting more today. Overnight it could dry out and the northern spots may catch up with upslope on half the liquid. I do think SB/MRG got the best QPF.

The Sugarbush web cams looked real nice this afternoon. I think SB jackpotted today. We are up to 3” at high elevations but only 1-2” down around the base area.

Pure butter (or buttah as they say) this morning with above freezing temps and thick high ratio snow groomed out... I love this surface condition. GP crushing it down Gondolier today. 3-6" or 4-7" type event coming up for the hill from noon Saturday to noon Sunday IMO.

It is very sound logic in this progressive flow. The non-sound logic that gets to the same ending is that lows trying to track over the coastal plain from HFD to PWM usually tick east anyway towards the water and baroclinic zone along the water. I’m always skeptical of that track as shown.

Man if we could only lock that in. Sucks its still 4-5 days out. 24-hr totals. Just a huge chunk of New England in 6+. Most of it occupied by trees and moose though.

It’s January 3rd. That seems like a long time away.

I always sell those. It takes a special pattern to produce that.