Well that warmth was fun while it lasted.
43F here now and snow falling on the web cams above 2000ft. Mid/upper 30s with snow showers in the Adirondacks where the cold is a bit deeper.
Windows and doors wide open until 9pm last night felt like early summer, and now the heat has kicked back on.
Yeah, winds went NW up here 11 hours ago but it's just now starting to drop. Down to 48F. Stayed pretty mild last night.
Jealous of you guys with another day of A+ weather.
Do we wake up tomorrow to some flakes flying or a wet coating on mulch/rooftops tomorrow morning from here to @alex?
Some models are showing just enough of an upslope response on CAA late tonight with surface temps in the low 30s that there could be some -SHSN flying in NNE tomorrow morning.
Tonight... Cloudy with a chance of rain showers. A chance of snow showers after midnight. Snow accumulation a dusting to 2 inches possible. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
(Opening up winter playbook, turning to page 6)
Its right where we want it. Day 7 progs are never right so it’s good the models aren’t showing it.
(Turns to page 8 in playbook)
Its a classic case of the models seeing a snowstorm at day 8-10 but losing it in the middle range. Expect it to come back around 4 days out.
This weather is right in my wheelhouse for outdoor recreation... a little chilly for swimming but low dew 70s is ten stars all day long for anything else outside.
Gonna go for a hike with the dog then maybe hit some golf balls around the backyard, ha.
Pretty sweet day. Love the long day light and 60s.
Walking the dog in the upper mid-slope region, right along the conifer tree line, there's a decent amount of snow. High slopes must be real full.
Yeah that would be the safe bet. Same goes for any Day 8 record progs. If it was showing 100F at Day 8 it would be the same way...always hedge towards climo.
Top 10 day today without a doubt. Dry air mass, mild. 64F off a low of 32F. Perfect.
Speaking of trough though...
This is obscene for May 10th 850mb... lol.
Just all kinds of crazy in that. The fact that it hit 70F three times in March but zero in April...and on top of that the warmest temp was hit on April 7th, so early in the month when climo is climbing fast throughout the month.
Wild.
63/53 with partly sunny skies....feels almost hot with dews in the 50s. I’ve been getting used to those 17% RH afternoons.
Sky looks convective too, some vertical development.
Mild 44F here... picnic tables have been rotting at 32-33F all day though. Wind chills in the mid-teens. Should be a nice day for a little hike with the dog lol.
I mean those progs are pretty cool relative to normal.... now whether anyone's skin feels that as "cold" or "chilly" or what not is another matter. I agree a sunny -5 day can still be pretty damn nice out this time of year. I'll take sunny and 52F as a win.
The tune from a few in here though would be MUCH different if that was showing +5 to +10 departures. I'm pretty sure the word "torch" would be involved in that.