powderfreak

The ensembles aren’t great for sure… even getting random Op runs like the 6z GFS where the 540 thickness doesn’t go underneath us again for the entirety of the run after today. Could be a slow ramp up this year. But we’ll get a bunch more nice days on the bike/hike trails.

Congrats on the sub-freezing temperature.

The good news is that lack of solar strength, mixing, etc won’t maximize the SFC temperatures like can be done at other times of year with this H5 pattern. Low level cold undercutting the mid-level warmth and CAD from the Maritimes can lead to cooler surface temps than the long wave pattern suggests. Overall though, the EPS/Euro Ensemble has been showing 50-members of upper level ridging in the means. Pretty stable/steady pattern. Persistence. Monday… 10+ days from now… 15 days from now…

36F in the village and still breezy out of the NW. No inversion developing yet, still mixing. 19F at the top of the Quad… a fully mixed atmosphere is usually a 15 degree difference/decrease between home and the free air up at the top lift terminals. Checks out tonight as a 17 degree difference, very well mixed. The gradient seems steeper than normal in the mid-slope. From 2,600ft to 3,600ft it goes from 27F to 19F. Secondary push of CAA from 925-850mb?

That first day seeing the guns firing is a good day though for sure. Put a little hop in your step. Long range wise, I’d be a bit nervous about the World Cup at Killington.

Killington is surprising, agreed there. Yeah for the other areas like Stowe, Sugarbush, Jay, etc… making snow this weekend would be to test things, train staff. But if we can’t hit the opening date for whatever reason it won’t be because 30-36 hours was passed by on Upper Lord on 11/2. When Stowe can’t open it’s because of below Crossover to the lift maze. If it’s 11/8, the guns are on right now even just at the top.

We held off too. Wet-bulb temps aren’t that great except for like the top quarter of the hill.

August precipitation.... The past two months since September 1st...

I'd hate to have an actual emergency like a house fire right now in some of those towns. So many resources tied up fighting the brush fires. Mutual aid and agencies coming from further distances will diminish response time to other calls. No issues locally here. Picked up ~0.40" today between two rounds of precip, one this morning and then again this evening. 45F and dropping. Crazy that tomorrow's highs may barely crack 40F here in the valley.

Theres no way you only had 0.03” in August?

Yeah turned on the A/C on the mini split last night to cool off the bedroom…. windows weren’t getting it done when it was in the 70s outside.

It was 73F at 3:30am. Thats insane.

Not a leaf left this afternoon in the heat.

That’s impressive. Knowing how easy it is (or can be) to get at least an occasional 0.5-1.0” QPF event while living in New England… that total over 2+ months is noteworthy. There have been some big temperature changes, warm fronts and cold fronts usually spark precip but no dice lately. You have an ocean to your south and east to supply moisture. Just 1.5” in 8-10 weeks? Yeah, that’s impressively dry.

Memorable Halloween. Record high of 77F at MVL, with the old record being 71F. The weather brought everyone out… Stowe throws a party in the village. Shuts down the busy RT 100 every Thanksgiving to give the locals a place to gather and for the kids to trick or treat. The homes and businesses put on a show. Up in these parts, most kids don’t live in traditional neighborhoods… things are more spread out. So the families come from a decent ways away to enjoy the Halloween celebration. The weather couldn’t have been better.

Holy crap, that's it? Up here, we have been put into the unseasonably dry category and have received over 7" of rain during that time. That's crazy... on CoCoRAHS, just north of you in Somers has numerous stations below 1.25" during that time. I figured you had at least 2-3" during that time.

Plattsburgh, NY at 83F lol. KPBG 311853Z AUTO VRB05G15KT 10SM CLR 28/09 A2984 RMK AO2

77F MVL

What a torch. 73F and climbing. Record high was 71F.

70F at 10am up here in NVT.

Pretty crazy forecasted temps relative to record highs for Halloween. BTV record high of 71F and the NWS forecast is for 78F?! PBG record of 72F and forecast is 80F? It’s rare to crush record highs by that much, especially at stations with long periods of record.

54F up at 3,100ft a little while ago. Hit 61F down below.

My dew point is higher.

We rain. KMVL 300204Z AUTO 17006KT 7SM RA OVC029 07/04 Quite the temperature gradient along the warm front too. The warm air is getting blocked by the spine of the Green Mtns currently... but it'll pour over the hills and through the gaps soon enough. We all go into the 60s and 70s the next two days.

Ah that explains it. I thought it was interesting they were making snow up on the T-bar, but it's also the highest terrain. Good test/practice run for the snowmaking team. Ski academies and high-level ski/snowboard training programs have moved more and more towards supporting (financially) ski areas opening the training terrain earlier and earlier. Staff training, system stress test (aka blowing out the mice), and having it subsidized a bit... send it. GMVS/Sugarbush... MMSC/Stowe... CVA/Sugarloaf... there are several out there, Waterville is known for ski racing too in the region.