powderfreak

Severe Watch. Tons of people on the mountain. This should be fun. SPC though going with a watch is probably the death blow for any severe... they miss a huge derecho a few days ago so probably not in the mood to chance missing even one rogue severe storm.

DIT’s fall torch finally came, only 5 weeks later. 73F at MVL.

57F up here in Mansfield... wind is honking. Easy 50mph gusts out of the southwest on the exposed ridge.

C’mon now, you’d much rather have spent your money on politicians instead of buying a sweet spot (is that an estate?) in the mountains, let’s be real. Someone could’ve put your Randolph money to good use with a run of TV commercials for your local state senate seat.

Yeah HRRR and 3KM NAM say get off the mountain by 3-3:30pm. There are a TON of people out in the hills, hope they know it could turn very quickly around 3-4pm. Shit gets real fast when you have your family up high hiking on a warm Saturday when 40dbz rolls into the mountain.

Already 68F here! Damn, what a Saturday for Columbus Day weekend.

That Maine race must be spending money for the advertisements. Even here, I don't see or hear any campaigns from the VT or NH races... but every political ad is regarding a race in Maine. Mostly Collins v Gideon.

I mean, Phin isn't going to know what's happening even if it's a shitty winter... just bewildered regardless. Like he said a couple days ago, the windy rainy cool event felt like February in Maryland already. Just imagine what November will feel like.

Yeah but it was still only the northern crew getting interesting events. I guess I misread it, it doesn't have to be a banner winter for only the northern tier to be posting frequently. I'd almost say if it's a poor region wide winter, the northern folks will be the ones still posting regularly where averages dictate at least some decent/fun events outside of some abortion like 15-16. I still remember some fun events last winter and it DEFINITELY felt like we were the only ones snowing when it was happening.

Last winter? ha.

Grainy/noisy photo... pushing the boundaries of my camera lens, as google maps says it was 74 miles away from where I was standing, lol. But it's white.

MWN is absolutely glowing on the horizon right now! Western sun behind me on Stowe and there’s just this glowing white ridge off in the distance.

First time seeing ice on the ground this evening. About 3,000ft, walking by had to do a double take... like, “that’s frozen water, at 4pm?” Warm ground laughing. Oh and a dog sat next to it.

It is so nice out, full bluebird. Not many of these left, taking the opportunity to bounce out of work early, grab the dog and go for a hike. 55/25 in the valley right now.

Yeah aesthetically I still love the Great 48 concept, but functionally for Mountain Ops and how the mountain is skied/opened/closed/groomed/snowmaking it makes sense to break it up into segments instead of 2,000+ vertical feet, 1-2 mile long trails with a lot of variability that ski like different segments anyway (I will say it's rare to ski a trail fully from top-to-bottom too, it's more hopping from segment to segment). Grooming often can be only certain parts of trails too, so you get a bunch of partially groomed runs. Snowmaking is easier to communicate even to staff when its broken up into segments too. But the "Stowe Great 48" is now classic ski memorabilia... maps, posters, t-shirts, etc. I love that stuff.

Love when the only remaining foliage on the trees is generally orange at this point, orange mixed with bare trees... and the Satellite view is definitely also orange. I would say that orange glow areas are in the past peak category while nearby neighboring the orange zone is likely best colors right now?

Severe wind haven! I remember that Mt Tom event, isn't there a road that runs through there that got smoked? Or is this photo from that road, ha.

For sure probably in your area more, you guys were already clear in the afternoon right? The bust up here was the trapped moisture stratus and wind, that was still prevalent after sundown... NWS went conservative with the cloud cover and wind up here in the mountains. We still had OVC in the OBS until midnight when it went CLR afterward... I think it was just a cloud cover and wind issue, hedging conservative in the mountains with trapped upslope flow moisture. It went clear/calm around midnight and plummeted.

Interesting correlation there to very cold mins early season then... seeing as ‘64 and ‘65 also had 5 days at CON with mins in the 20s so far. Dry air and ground limiting frost/fog and allowing temps to sneak into the 20s with more frequency? There’s definitely something there, it makes sense.

What were the dry years in the 1960s?

We need to create a Wikipedia page for that scientific name.

Yeah I’ve been enjoying any mild/warm afternoon possible. Hoping to have another good weekend of hiking. lol at MWN, a low of 12F with a wind chill of -16F.

That’s wild. It looks like November outside.

What a bust. Forecast was for a low of 35F... actual 25F. Frozen solid outside. Currently 28F.

The worst radar coverage is by far eastern VT. The Spine close to BTV means we need to use higher scans, but if 2.4 degree is the first to clear the Spine, that angle is so steep that by the time it’s in eastern VT or the northeast kingdom, it’s at 12-15000 feet up. Like I-91 corridor, the radar is hitting 15,000ft up in the air, which isn’t going to give you much help in figuring out the surface. In fact, at 15000ft in eastern VT, many times all the precipitation is occurring well below that, even synoptic precipitation. So you never even see the precip unless it’s summer convection punching high in the air. I think that’s why @alex mentioned the lack of echoes in eastern VT... the beam keeps rising as the precip moves eastward, and eventually the beam is just going above the precipitation, because the Green Mtn Spine necessitates a steep initial scan angle.