powderfreak

Nope it’s pretty sad. At least it’s been white but it’s towards the bottom of the whisker and box plot distribution. My only solace is how many days the grass has been covered has been at least ok. Just enough weird 3-5” microscale snows after the thaws to keep it going lol.

Yeah I’m sure you didn’t think the Randolph 1750ft observer would have 1.5” depth going into New Years Eve, ha.

Yeah that’s what I’m thinking more and more. Low snow ratios too even in mostly snow solutions. Maybe 3” of dense material on 0.50” water.

Of for sure, I’ll take 3” and run.

The jump on 3km from 6z to 12z is lol. It was practically sunny north of Montreal at 6z.

Yeah that was a step back.

Probably means suppression depression here. The kiss of death is “probably looks good for most” when it comes from a SNE’er .

Was surprisingly warm this morning, freezing levels rose to 2,000ft overnight. Was 34F with a coating of wet snow at 1500ft when I arrived at 5am.

Nice 6z Euro run.

Great EPS mean snow run for ski country.

I'm only busting Phin's balls... if you love weather, the total cost is very low relatively speaking to everything else in life. I don't subscribe to any service in the summer.

I do weatherbell. But have had weathermodels, which was good. Just got used to the layout of wxbell. Some also like stormvista.

A weather model subscription to get the EURO for a winter probably costs less than 3 inches of one single log in your many thousand square foot home, lol. I'd be signing up right now. I drop subscriptions on things like candy. If I want to watch a show and I can do it with $8 for a month, done deal without thinking.

No subscription?!

Yeah we are currently in the deep southwest flow sink hole downwind of the Adirondacks. The Greens get the air lifting around here but not until you are into the NEK does it really start falling. We see this from time to time when the mid-level SW flow is pretty unblocked.... the standing wave downslope consumes Sugarbush/Bolton/Stowe/Smuggs stretch. Of course there are other times when the SW flow and the right inversion height blocks the flow and crushes us. But the models have been pretty steady on a largely unblocked flow depositing precipitation well downwind into the NEK.

What great afternoon light today from the top of Spruce Peak.

18z NAM continues a solid Advisory event.

Radar looks like a good burst moving through your area. Just virga over here.

That’s be a nice snowy day... 4-7”

That would do a lot for the vibe of the forum, lol.

12z ICON and GFS not buying those much colder solutions.

Yeah for sure. At some point our luck should break right... maybe not luck but climo will eventually kick in at some point. Or maybe climo is the reason we've had so many days of snow cover in a shit pattern despite it not being deep. I feel like 66% of the days since Nov 1st have been at like 1-3" snow depth, lol. The other reason this might go our direction is the calendar year is no longer 2020 but 2021 when this hits

Getting interested again after the 6z Euro and 12z NAM lol.

Finally saw some brief blue skies this afternoon, after a day of snow showers and even some brief 1/4sm vis bursts. Cold, winter weather finally.

It vastly over does QPF in its mountain grids sometimes. Almost like it mistakes rime or some sort of QPF trigger in the algorithm. The synoptic set up doesn’t support these values... MVL here isn’t getting 0.40+ water and the mountain 1+... MWN isn’t getting 2”+ QPF. Especially with such a sharp drop off around all precip maximums. You’ll see that a lot with the 3km NAM. You gotta average the highs and lows but often it’s a flaw in the model for the high QPF dots over the mountain grid points.