powderfreak

Even a half inch to whiten the ground, in October? Set the mood for seasonal change. I love seeing snow this time of year. It’s been raining for 5 months, time to see another p-type. Doesn’t matter how much. Some areas could get several inches too, it’s all good though.

It’s definitely a quiet night ahead of the first widespread snow of the season (in October!) for the forum. But it feels like this has been tracked for 8 days... maybe even 10 days? Whenever metfan started posting the images. Theres not much to say at this point that hasn’t been hashed out already it feels like lol.

Election day clipper and upslope? Some decent signals for some orographic snow to start the week. EURO/GGEM/GFS all showing the signals. Cold air mass too.

34F with some stray wet flakes as it ends at 750ft.

I’m only joking, I have no idea. Snow levels seem to be around 1,500ft right now. I was just saying I doubt the town matters but that’s probably how folks there think about it if it’s set up that way.

Ha, I bet it’s snowing in some of those higher Gorham spots. Snowing in Stowe and also raining in Stowe .

I think we've been about identical all day. Just a brutal cold rain at 1,500ft when I've watched it snow up above all day. I did just drive into the notch before it got dark and it's snowing steadily with accumulations starting around 2,000ft. Road is still wet but temp was 32F... the State might shut 'er down tonight if it gets too icy up in those narrow switchbacks.

And boy do they know their audience. That's awesome. You'll never see that from any other Weather Forecast Office.

Brutal day at 1,500ft lol. Just 30s and rain while you can see it snowing just up the hill. I drove a few minutes up into Smugglers Notch though and there was snow on the ground starting around 2,000ft and it was snowing steadily up there. Pasted white above 2,500ft.

You guys see that 18z HRRR? lol

GFS looks like a nice little event Sun-Tue in several waves.

Trails are white down to 2,500ft. Snowflakes must be making it a bit below that elevation too but not sticking. We’ll see if we flip over at 1500ft here before 5pm.

Good luck SNE crew. I actually think models look the best they have in two days with that second wave. Down here at 1,500ft watching the trails turn white above 2,500ft. It’s like watching a snowstorm happen in real time but can’t quite get to it lol.

Could also be a snowpack type of deal too from driving through. It's really hard to judge annual snowfall from the snowpack as we know around here. Places that get half the actual "snowfall" can still have bigger snowpacks in that CAD region south east of Pinkham Notch. It's still "snowy" in that regard, but it's really hard to judge snowfall without actually measuring it every day. Like you drive through Tamarack's area and someone might be like holy crap, this place gets the most snowfall of anywhere around. Basically it's a "deep winter" type of place, the actual inches that come from the sky might be different.

Looks like snow started falling up high right from the get-go. Half inch at 3,000ft on Mansfield so far. Just -RN down here at 1,500ft.

Started as snow on the upper mountain, light rain down here at 1,500ft. Snow cam showing a half inch so far at 3,200ft on Mansfield.

Yeah, I'm pretty sure that 1,500ft elevation zone through the northern third of New England will be snow for most of the duration... it's just a QPF issue. I think that Montpelier to you line can get into the deeper moisture. Might be too far north here.

The snow map summary... real nice period of snow at the end for SNE, IMO. A nice quarter inch to third of an inch frozen... probably widespread 1-3".

Yeah out west? I could see the precip shield sort of just fall apart out there as opposed to tracking eastward. Just have an area of precip in Catskills down to Lower Hudson Valley and adjacent CT that toys and slowly dries up as the lift leaves.

Ha, I mean I could see it either way. I could see where Ray turns to snow faster and gets clipped by decent mid level banding... or could see precip staying further southwest with the second low so that CT is a bit more robust at elevation. But given how many times he told me/us to take the under on precip because of Stein fears, even as of a week or two ago... of course I’m going to bust his balls when his tune changes to assume the higher amounts on the very first winter precip event.

The thing that’s going to help you actually looks to be the second low tracking so far south and the precip on some of these runs almost look like it collapses from NY State through CT to Long Island and SE from there.

Kev’s probably thinking more to his east/west/north/south... I’m sure he’s going with under <0.75” QPF while areas around him do twice that. Stein won’t be denied.

3km NAM had a nice parting shot for you SNE’ers. Dropped about a 1/4-1/3” frozen QPF on the way out... probably 1-3” pretty widespread.

Sounds identical to this area this morning. No snow visible until 1,300ft and then at 1,400-1,500ft arriving at work there was some snow on elevated surfaces, mulch beds, planters, that sort of stuff. It was sort of funny in that there wouldn't be any snow on the actual ground, but if a tree had fallen over there would be snow on that tree trunk. You'd only see snow on elevated stuff just off the forest floor, like stumps, downed trees, etc.

I noticed that too. Odd how it had a colder profile aloft over the South Shore (maybe due to the stronger precip at the time?), but I still think the low levels are quite marginal. But if it's ripping at -7C at 850mb you'd think that's a flip to snow. 11AM Friday and the coldest H85 temps were basically south shore?