powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Haha don’t project that Randolph angst into chill Vermont .
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Actually I just want something to track. A reason to look at model runs. Probably the most boring 2 week stretch imaginable just passed. I’ll just take some evening snow showers like last night.
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Good choice. We only got 2” too. But we just see too much skier traffic to open the natural trails at this point. Something Jay doesn’t have to worry about with the border closed, ha. Guess today they extended it to February 21st.
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18z ICON looks almost identical to 12z. For the little it’s worth.
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It’s brother the GFS v16 says deform band in Syracuse though, ha.
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That’s the classic Upper Valley/St Johnsbury downslope in strong SE flow. The Met students at Lyndon know what’s up, lol.
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We are one good QPF dump away from a lot of the natural terrain. It’s skiable cautiously but would be down to dirt and closed within like an hour, lol. Even people who poach stuff are like “that was good as the first person but probably wouldn’t be for the 12th person down it.” If we could get a 0.75-1.0” water equivalent event I think the mountain opens up pretty wide. At this point it’s not inches of snow to open stuff but water. Even 3-4” of sleet would do it, ha.
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I haven’t looked at that new v16 run yet but that mid-level band is way out there to the west. Mid-levels must be way west given that band location.
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lol from like Rochester to Lewiston and everywhere in between.
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18z NAM looks like it would be a bit more interesting in parts of SNE extrapolating it.
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Yeah for sure, but I appreciate the maps. Noticed it several times this winter when you post those vs the WxBell or weathermodels maps. Basically the Ryan Mauve maps, ha.
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Those maps always look much more realistic.
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Yeah I’m usually worried about east tracks but not in this one. Upstate NY would make sense too, I could see us being on the line with more of an Adirondack event.
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Solid hit. MLK Weekend for ski areas, good timing.
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Thinking back, I feel like my college girlfriends parents house got like 36” in that one. They were in Topsfield. The photos looked legit 36”, I remember being blown away by the pics and thinking all of NE Mass must’ve gotten smoked. Made 20” in BTV feel lackluster ha. Edit: I may be thinking of 2005 actually. There was a while there they seemed to get 24+ on the north shore in a bunch of events in that Beverly, Topsfield, Danvers, Peabody area.
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What happened? I remember a big widespread event. Local subby zone?
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That’s the classic track.
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I mean where does the population live? Hard to blame them. BTV doesn’t talk about Essex County VT. It just happens that Montpelier to Burlington stretch runs through the heart of the mountains and the ski areas are nearby too. Busiest stretch of traffic in the state too. If the Whites sat over Sebago Lake they’d probably be the focus point of the CWA, ha. I think it’s proximity and population.
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This is when 40/70 shines. Very close to some Mooseknuckle, NH comment. Though the best are after dark.
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Yeah they’ve mentioned that before, ha. Picnic Tables get mentioned once in a while. They talk snowmaking and skiing sometimes in those. They know their audience, the outdoor rec crew slamming refresh on the AFDs. Helps that a bunch of them live in the Upslope zone too, you naturally talk about what affects you too.
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They lurk and we had one regular poster (Mike M. who authored the Froude Number study) but has since relocated to a NWS office in the mid-Atlantic.
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Yeah it’s definitely something to track. Plenty of juice on these runs. Going to be timing as that wave rides the frontal boundary.
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ICON going big too. Widespread 1-3” QPF event.
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Just destroyed this weekend. 12z GFS takes it to the house.
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I think this pattern is showing how much the freezing level matters. I mean we knew it, that’s what NNE always talks about. Just get it cold enough to snow and stay. The highs have still been warm at the climo sites on average, but guess they feel cool compared to the lows. All that matters is the freezing mark for wet-bulb temps in the afternoon. If it doesn’t melt, it’s a win.
