powderfreak

CAA in full swing. It was 63F at 5am at MVL.. now 52F. Hard to get strong temp drops while the sun rises this time of year. Some upslope light rain showers too.

I looked around on Wundermap, couldn’t tell which one was yours. Saw anywhere from 0.50-1.50”. Stem is easy to find.

Euro beefed up big time too. Changes from 12z yesterday to 00z are substantial for Fri/Sat.

Thankfully they got those runs in there before the delay! Great bottom of the 6th.

That NAM run has like the Central Greens up to BML and nearby Phin in the 30s for temps for like 36 hours over Memorial Day weekend, ha!

3km NAM looks like a snow profile up north at least through 925mb at the end of its run (hour 60).

I see the High School Stem picked up 0.90” water... that’s a good drink. Hope you got soaked.

Looked pretty good heading through your area.

Hey I agree your reasoning with Sun/Mon is sound, wouldn’t be the first time a system developed later further east/northeast. Friday Night though synoptically has a lot going for it... strong gradient and baroclinic zone between cold north and humid/warm south. Looks like prolonged period of upper level divergence with good right-rear quad of jet streak positioning. I guess maybe it falls apart but even the ICON has 1” up to VT/NH and 2” South Coast. 18z ECM wetter too... 1-1.50” for you. Hard to give congrats to someone who gives no meteorological reasons other than , lol.

This is all from Fri/Sat. Not talking Sun/Mon. Lets just say if this were winter and the lowest model out there had someone at 6-8”, with a bunch of other models had 12-20”... and a poster said they think everything is wrong and they expect 2-5”? They’d be all day long. You’d be calling for 1-2 feet. I get it, you are Stein-bitten. But you can’t look at the models right now and make that determination any other way than with emotions at this point.

Congrats on the rain. GFS/GGEM/NAM.

The GFS was much better than NAM on Saturday it seemed. 50s to 60F instead of 40s. GGEM looked drying out but still 40s/50s.

85-86F over this way in the valley... 81F up at work. It feels very warm.

Congrats all on Memorial Day Weekend Saturday. 5am Temps: 5pm... still rotting upper 30s to upper 40s region wide. That’d be special if it’s 41F at ORH at 5pm on Memorial Day Weekend.

12z NAM likes the Whites.

lol that’s worth saving.

So sad. His passion was unmatched. RIP.

I haven't seen a tick but have had plenty of black flies and bugs over the past week on the mountain. Bugs are bad right now when the wind calms down and it's warm. Especially the mid-slope elevations right now. Peaks seem bug free, but that upper hardwood forest is pretty ripe for insects.

Good stuff, everyone has a specialized knowledge base. You're a good dude.... give knowledge to the group when the discussion is in your wheelhouse, but are also humble and recognize the situation. That's a conversation with someone who has background in it.

Ha yeah. Docs diagnosis are pretty damn good. The weather and snow amounts are so much more variable... the atmospheric system seems more unpredictable.

It’s crazy how much the toe/nail pain can be from something so minor...and easy to fix with a cut if it’s numb. It’s such a basic thing that feels incredible afterward, but can also make you black out from pain if you don’t prepare the area.

They are playing good baseball so far, but long way to go. It doesn’t seem like an “all-in” team where you go full send. It would have to be really cheap IMO but as Bloom has shown with Tampa and now Richards and Pivetta, he seems ok at sniffing out useable pitching staff. Add in that Cora seems to have some positive effect at extracting talent too... who knows. Need to find the pitching version of 2018 Steve Pierce .

Yikes!

I always thought the vaccine was to stop severe illness hospitalizations and/or death. Maybe that woman in the article is on a ventilator or even worse without the vaccine? Is it similar to wearing a seatbelt can reduce your chances of dying or serious injury in a car wreck... but it can still happen. I guess I always looked at it as a probability scale and tipping the odds in your favor as much as possible. But not that it’s 100% in your favor.

Into the trees? I can unload some big drives, the trick is getting it to go in the intended direction.