powderfreak

Up to 66F here. Fake cold followed by fake warmth. +5 over your high and -22 on the low.

There's been some ridiculous diurnal swings lately. Up here MVL has a 41 degree spread in the 12z to 18z period and the temp keeps ticking upward. It goes from ice baths frozen solid and very heavy frost... to like shorts and hoodie temperatures. Very big sensible temperature difference between 22F and 63F lol.

Age is a mindset.

Fake cold but very real in terms of heating costs. It's the temperature it says it is. Below freezing. While at 1,500ft and the ski area base... those multi-million dollar homes aren't paying for that heat right now at 48 degrees. They made the right investment. Go for the hills where the nights are much warmer, in all seasons. It's pretty wild how the valley bottom (living along the river bottom) sees such cold nighttime temperatures relative to the rest of the area. MVL with 30F at the time of this screen grab. Stagecoach Rd is generally around 1,000ft or higher to the west of RT 100 valley bottom. Those lowest few hundred feet "pay" for their location.

As fake as its been... the heating cost is always real. 30/27 and frozen this evening. The heat pump has been working very efficiently on these autumn nights. Saves a decent amount of money compared to firing up the propane fed boiler to heat the place. CEF at 33/32, looks to be crisp down in the CT River Valley too.

If anyone is bored... here's the 94-page OBS thread from that event. Good stuff in there. I might start to go down the rabbit hole while watching the World Series, ha. And here's the first discussion thread 48 hours prior to the event.

High of 63F and then the sun goes behind the hills and it’s immediately 43F. That was an incredibly fast loss of 20 degrees. From wearing shorts to chill in under 2 hours. It goes up 40+ degrees, and then back down just as fast. Shadows moving in are like a cold frontal passage.

All I can think of are grocery stores saying “Halloween Candy just came in today” and the date is July 5th.

22F to 63F so far… 41 degree diurnal spread and still seems to be trying to nudge higher.

You get it on a pallet or something? Freight truck just back up to your garage with a lift gate?

She got tight last night. Inversion down under 1500ft. Its wild to me it can just keep radiating like the face of the moon underneath. MVL popped 21F on a few of the 5-min readings. A 20F delta to 875mb.

22F. Its 41F on the summit. Lol.

That’s what makes this time of year interesting I guess. The staying power of low level cold air. Once that boundary layer cool air gets established (even if by radiational cooling), it’s hard to dislodge? The sun angle is very low, it just doesn’t warm up at all like it did even just weeks ago.

Ha. 36F on Mansfield as return flow occurs aloft. Definitely a “backside of the deeper cold” type of night... where the 850mb flow has switched SW with gentle WAA overtop. Instead of a 5,000ft thick cold layer last night, it might be more like 2,000ft tonight. Cold should settle in better and deeper to the east of here. Locally here and into the Adirondacks it should be shallow as the warmth laps through the terrain overhead.

It does make me think we were pretty "lucky" (?) I guess climatologically to pull off that sneaky 1-2" on the mountain back on October 8th I think it was. That got the true first accumulation on the books, with good flakes into the base area... but without that, Mansfield might have been on a more noteworthy streak deep into November looking for it's first whitening. Kind of funny it can go a month+ without seeing flakes fly again after the first event rolls through.

It looks quite mild into mid-month, for sure. Going to be a slow start to the ski season but plenty of time before Thanksgiving for things to change by the second half of the month being 2+ weeks away. It won't happen fast but hopefully after two weeks we can see distinct signs of an upcoming change.

Wow you aren't joking about not getting cold at night. That's crazy. 31F here and 30/27 at MVL already tonight. Going to be a cold one.

45F in the valley, has that cool/crisp vibe despite full sun. Frost still in the deeper shaded spots from the dry air. Shade still feels cold.

I read it as he’s wondering what can go wrong so the pattern change doesn’t come… and it’s torchy into December?

Yeah it wasn’t the like 27F in the valleys while it’s 42F at BTV and on the peaks. Everyone was below freezing at all elevations and topography.

Crisp morning. BTV got their first freeze, ha. That’s when you know it’s not really fake when torch Island there gets below freezing.

27F outside right now at 750ft and 29F at 1500ft. Pretty uniform radiational night. Mansfield summit was 25F for a low but looks to be ticking up again. PWS around town at all elevations ranging 26F to 29F, pretty deep boundary layer with 20s in lowest 5,000ft, no skim cooling while it’s warm just off the deck. LOL at 19F at SLK.

Looks pretty nice to be honest. Looks like the woods how they are supposed to look this time of year.

It’s the one type of weather that brings the interior hilltop and the ocean side coast together. You love to see them find some common ground in mild nights.

I forgot you guys just rained for days. We had low clouds but it was mostly dry and a few sunny breaks at times.