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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Sunday River looks legit.
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No stein there. Climo evens out. Your bread and butter (ha) type heavy precip event for you guys… a coastal low crushing.
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Just heavy precipitation rotating up through the eastern NE (esp SNE) zones. SE and E Mass look to be getting smoked. Impressive radar loop.
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There's a great convergence of conveyor belts on this evening's regional radar. Its a cold season system evolution.
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I was on a different part of the mountain… would’ve been out there for hours working over to 4kft. I know, I failed. We try again tomorrow. Damn did a hot shower feel good though.
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Went up to 3,300ft and hit snowflakes around 3,000ft. No accumulation but legit snowing at 3,200ft+. Summit cam shows accumulation at 4,000ft. I wasn’t in a position to get over there and man, that was some brutal weather conditions to be outside in for 2 hours. Walking through wind driven rain 1500-3000ft to see some flakes, ha. Was thoroughly cold and wet when I hit the car again.
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I’d be swallowing a shotgun if this were winter.
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Nothing like chilly, chunky rain heading into MDW. Warmth is hopefully coming soon.
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It looks like some white rain mixes in at times over the highest inhabited elevations. It’s wet, not white.
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Well defined low level jet.
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52/37 up here right now. However, if it's this light at 8:30pm even with clouds, and we have another month of gaining daylight... need to get out and try to enjoy it. Hope we get some nice warm evenings over the next two months to enjoy the late daylight.
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WTF is that bright thing in the sky?
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Where was this pattern this past winter? GFS trying to organize another coastal low middle of next week. Nice low end warning event centered along the Pike, ha.
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Down to… 29F at 3,600ft. 34F at 2,600ft. 37F at 1,550ft. 42F at 750ft.
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Been spitting flakes up high all day but no accumulation.
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I mean I’m watching for flakes, ha. I’d take a couple degrees cooler through the column. The old Will adage that once below 45F, start rooting for 32F.
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Cold. 3,600ft... 31F 2,600ft... 35F 1,500ft... 39F
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We are flipping over to snow flakes at 3,000ft on the snow cam. 39F in the base area with rain.
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This is a great post. Back to basics. No charts, no models… just upper level cold pool aloft in the means. Some downslope dandy and some moisture before another front.. Unsettled. At least up in NNE, we are probably f*cked with a cold pool overhead. The BrianWs south coast environments are probably quite nice at times.
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Agreed, that’s the rub. The 35F to 75F or 40F to 82F with wall-to-wall sun this is not. Low diurnal change, with clouds and some rain. Dry periods still fine outdoors but not beautiful. We’ll get through it, ha.
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I won’t lie, maybe you’ve seen more data but about half the days the next two weeks look like a 925-850 flow out of an easterly component. The other half is N/W. Which I think is why most are talking about the same weather. You’re just more positive on anything that isn’t straight May 2005. Others are like it’s not the nicest it could be.
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This isn’t winter though. The cold air to tap isn’t in the Arctic. It’s the ocean that surrounds us on two sides. Loop the dew points over the next two weeks… a lot of it is advecting from E/SE and it’s not humid. My question for you is, what would have to happen for you to say it doesn’t look ideal or as good as it could be? -4C 850s and snow? Where’s the line this time of year?
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Yeah that’s what I got out of the model runs. It could be better. Are folks relegated to being indoors for weeks on end? No, they never will this time of year. But it is not a great pattern.
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What’s the big hang up with saying it doesn’t look as good as it could on here in the warm season? It’s like as soon as that’s uttered, a full scale PR & marketing effort starts to convince folks it’s going to be full summer until October now
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Dendrite didn’t say it’s weeks of rain and cold though? Is that what crud means to you? Coolish with clouds at times? I feel like there’s a big misconception of what’s being said. If anyone says it’s not a great pattern, it’s being interpreted as 44F and raining.
