powderfreak

Yeah I’d toss those GEFS temps… take +2 on most of that. So it’s normal to slightly AN… but it’s like Wiz said.. this is normal June. We like to rush seasons in.

Have you looked? Because I honestly don't know if I believe you. I just did (because it's fairly easy to do so) and I'm seeing most ensembles are showing a normal temperature regime. GEFS are probably too cool, but I'm imagining that @CoastalWx also looked and arrived at his conclusion after seeing the H5 pattern and resulting set-ups. And I'm not calling for a cold pattern, before this gets spun as "some are calling for 40s and 50s". This is model data on a science forum. Read it how you want to. EPS Days 8 - 15 GEFS Days 8 - 15... this is colder.

Not once did Scoots say anything about a cool, chilly pattern. Who the hell is thinking "Looks like big heat is gone for a while" means 30s at night? The mental gymnastics, projections, hyperbole and assumptions in here could keep a psychiatrist going for years. If we as a science forum have gotten to the point where we can't call it like the models show, we've jumped the shark.

Good luck here. We used to live more in model reality but that’s moved on to filling agendas with strong hyperbole. The ones to trust are the ones who can actually say when models show the weather they don’t want. Like Coastalwx loves heat and humidity in the summer… if he says models have backed off a bit on heat, they did.

The trick is to not even look at model guidance, maybe some twitter posts, and “guide” the weather to the outcome you want.

My conundrum is a dog that has been sprayed twice in her life, but I know her instincts are to go after any small (or big) animal that wanders through. We have a skunk that comes by most days, and is very careful to stay on the perimeter where it knows the dog can’t get it (due to being on a lead attached to the porch). The problem is going to be, one day, the dog won’t be tethered or will slip out when the skunk is doing his thing eating grubs…. the dog is getting sprayed again.

That’s impressive to be honest. Might be the most impressive reading yet in the trees there.

I remember when mine when in… when the crews left and those things were quietly cranking out cold, dry air. It’s a life changer. Congrats.

This is a warm season AFD. Hazy, quiet, warm conditions after some record/near record temps. Summer vibe tonight. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 703 PM EDT Wednesday...Mostly clear skies with some residual wildfire smoke will likely yield a colorful sunset tonight across the North Country. We likely tied or broke a few temperature records today looking at observations but we will wait until 8 PM to begin sending out any record statement as we want to ensure the data is correct. Otherwise, it`ll be a quiet night across the region with increasing cloud cover toward morning as a cold front approaches the region.

I bet the PWS is right. Just different settings between a wide open airfield and areas with more vegetation where people live. More evapotranspiration. Dews are a bit higher, temps a bit lower. I think your PWS is fine.

Smokey sunset.

Yeah I use MVL, took home the local heat award at 89F for max. That site can do it on these dry heaters. Local neighbor’s PWS was 87F though. BTV with 88F MPV with 87F. Already down to 72F MVL, 70F PWS. Those low dew afternoons drop fast once the sun starts lowering.

Sunday was cold, remember I was showing Mansfield was low-30s with strong wind and it’s a good 1000ft lower than Katahdin. That night was cold too.

88/52 Can we get 90F? 29% RH is how I like my heat.

Up to 86/52 now. Really nice heater out there.

Our ancestors put in so much time evolving, just so we could live in hermetically sealed dwellings of comfort .

Push of a button installs are my favorite.

82/54 here.

Dude I give you huge props for running every morning in that. They are absolutely brutal in the woods there. Back in high school and college, spending the summers living and working in Woodstock I would suffer through running the dirt roads through the woods around those parts (we were 1.5 miles from any pavement, so could do a quick out and back at 3 miles, or longer 5 mile loops with some minor pavement running). It was so bad that several times a week I would actually drive to the Woodstock track and athletic complex that was out in the open, mowed around it, tennis courts, etc. The deer flies didn't hit you at the track. Sometimes I'd rather run around in a circle 12 to 20 times at the track, bored out of my mind, than deal with 2-6 deer flies buzzing and trying to bite you the whole time while running the dirt roads.

So you don't have the "biting gnats." Just the annoying gnats.

Same thing essentially… gnats are the broad term for small annoying flies, ha. “Gnats are a broader category of small flies that can include black flies and other species. Black flies, also known as buffalo gnats or biting gnats, are small, dark flies that are active in late spring and early summer.”

I’ve never seen a worse place for deer flies than NE CT woods. Those things are absolutely relentless until you kill them. Then the horse flies that are the size of nickels, but they aren’t as bad as the deer flies.

Yeah she gets an anti-inflammatory if we notice her being a little sluggish. Overall though dogs are incredibly pain tolerant and it’s tough/sad because if they are showing it, it really hurts. I don’t take the dog hiking right now because I know she’d do it even if she was in pain. She’d drag herself up the mountain with her front legs just to follow me around. So I don’t put her in that position right now.

She’s on the IL at the moment… think partial tear in her knee. She ripped the other knee like 4 years ago and we got it fixed… worked great. However, now she’s over 10, not in pain unless she goes on long hikes… so she may just be a light hike or valley dog along the river. She can do 5 miles flat or like under 1,000 verts mellow… but the 2,000 vertical feet straight up Mansfield days may be done, sadly. It’s just too much hind leg stress the whole way.

Almost gone.