powderfreak

You two are in perfect spots to feel the full low level jet. 850mb becomes the SFC.

METAR KMVL 252315Z AUTO 11003KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV010 M03/M05 A3002

Light snow, 25F.

Yeah it never changes over up here or at least gets very close. It’s by far the coldest model.

Yup we’ve started seeing it now since the snow started back up. Accumulations each day this week. Another 3” at the ski area since this morning, 4” past 24 hours. That’s the stuff that’s been missing. The weak frontal passages or squalls. The 3” on days when snow showers are forecast. We are back in it, with synoptic systems and upslope filling in between that.

This makes me all warm and fuzzy. Then as we get into the daytime hours on Thursday, the flow turns westerly again and with the Froude Number rising above 1, the flow becomes critical with several inches more of upslope snow favoring the Green Mountain spine, Jay, Stowe, Waterbury and portions of NEK. Winds will also pick up from the west and northwest, gusting 30 mph at times including in the Champlain Valley.

Absolutely dumping dendrites +SN. Great squall moving through with the weak FROPA.

Winter Storm Warning up here too.

Yeah that season recovered nicely in Feb/March with big snowpack in the mtns. I have a photo somewhere of my yard, like 6" of standing water on top of a crusty 2-3" of icepack... I had a lake in the yard. It ended up freezing into like a yellowish color too. It looked disgusting .

I like 5-8” up here, 8-12” for the mountain. The upslope signal on backside with some cold moving in looks pretty good. Snowy day today, another 2” on the mountain and visibilities down to 1 mile in the valley at times with upslope. In the snow flow.

2014, ha.

Absolutely love all the photos. An image is worth a thousand words seems to sum up weather observations. Should see an uptick in North Country business going forward. People see some snow in SNE, and also know NNE has seen snow over the past week... the economics of the north could use an influx while building some momentum. Service industry wages are through the roof after the past two seasons of high visitation. Now the staff is in place, and the winter has been on the slower side. Anyway, the Mount Mansfield Ski Patrol keeps opening terrain with the good SWE gain this week. Snowpack depth is near 30" on the upper mountain, which is low, but it has a very firm/frozen base and then a foot and a half on top of that. Like I said, hopefully we are building some momentum across the region.

Not bad for 7pm Wed if this is what radar looks like.

All it takes is the grass covered for full mood enhancement. Will’s photos too, sweet. We all bust balls but at heart we all are snow weenies so it’s good to see so many having white landscapes tonight. Hopefully you guys can grab a few on the front end of the next one and then hold in the 30s. You’ll come out with pack.

Doesn’t have to be deep winter, that landscape looks worlds better than before. Glad you guys scored some down there. Reach around was not a Fraud 5 today.

Jeez, nice! What a storm for the places modeled to get it. Finished with 4-5" up this way.

Turning the season around pretty fast for sure. Ropes continue to drop with about a foot and a half falling in the last week.

Tippy, love your posts and contributions dude… but why do these discussions always end up making it seem like everyone else on here is a little sensitive child and couldn’t possibly understand the point you are trying to make?

We worry about 1C on this forum all the time. 34F vs 32F.

15z HRRR looking good for a finish. (Again, lower ratios by up to half of this).

Ahhh! The famous Tamarack Stake! Nice.

Last evening there was a meso-band on radar arcing right through C.VT... Killington area and just north of there. Heading up towards your area. Can see it on the reports pretty well with 8-12" overnight in that zone.

NH-CS-19: Carroll 4.6 NE Obs DateJan 23, 2023 Obs Time07:00 AM Gauge Catch0.59 in Snowfall Depth 8.0 in SWE 0.60 in Snowpack Depth 16.0 in SWE NA Notes Snow started 7pm, 0700 OBS:moderate snow,temp 24.1

Can see the swath on CoCoRAHS of snowfall ending at 7am. Probably moving a bit south of there today? But that's generally the modeled axis in this storm.

The best way is to just know and understand the snow maps aren't to be taken literally, but to show the area where the model thinks that amount of water might fall as snow. Use your own ratios to figure out up or down from there. The other way would be to just use the p-type accumulation maps... ie model thinks 0.50-0.75" will be snow.