Jump to content

powderfreak

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    81,485

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    EURO folded as expected when it’s on an island by its own. Huge shift west. Congrats Tolland.
  2. powderfreak
    Nahhh, he’d be tweeting BOX to be careful and keep snow amounts down. Telling them to certainly not issue blizzard warnings back to Litchfield/Berkshire counties. Maybe hold off on issuing any winter weather headlines at all northwest of I-95 until the final model gets on board. I love when Kev bucks the trend, keeps everyone on their toes.
  3. powderfreak
    Sitting at 3000ft wondering how much rain DIT gets.
  4. powderfreak
    Yeah that’s more east of river again. ICON shifted west but was very Euro-like at 12z… moved to about the RGEM.
  5. powderfreak
    I’ll go 1-1.5” for you. Might as well draw a line for fun. I do think the widespread 2-3” is overkill except for narrow convection.
  6. powderfreak
    Tough to compare 18z runs to a previous 12z run. We’ll see what the 18z Euro does. Euro is interesting but hard to toss all the other models, no? Even in winter when it was on an island most would be leaning towards all the others. A mean of all models would be a drenching for you.
  7. powderfreak
    Both NAMs. Might be a west shift. Not sure… will need to see what Fisher thinks. Gonna jackpot Mitch and BackEdge by 00z lol.
  8. powderfreak
    It’s like a Stockholm Syndrome… don’t want their captor to let them go free. Need to have a reason to discuss “Stein” and worship it. An inch of rain is immensely boring as it removes that dialog for at least 7-10 days.
  9. powderfreak
    That is a drastic difference than everything else. That won’t help Kev move off forecasting through fear.
  10. powderfreak
    Yeah agreed. Usually that stripe means a narrower area of heavy rain training totals, amid a more general widespread rain. I like your layout... say a narrow stripe of 2-3", among a more widespread 0.75-1.25" or something. Either way, should be a nice widespread drink.
  11. powderfreak
    I can't. I give up. Can only show a horse where the water is but can't make him drink it.
  12. powderfreak
    Toss in the Hirpes too as a big shift westward. Weird all the mesos like 3km NAM, HRRR, HRDPS, etc are so big way west. Must have identical algorithms or something.
  13. powderfreak
    Are you drunk? Or I'm more and more convinced you never look at model guidance (Twitter does not count as looking at model guidance lol). GFS/GGEM/RGEM/3kNAM/HRRR all westward shifts at 12z. GFS: GGEM went west. RGEM went west.
  14. powderfreak
    3km goes 2-4” swath through heart of forum. 12z HRRR.
  15. powderfreak
    32F min.
  16. powderfreak
    Wild. Stark difference sensibly.
  17. powderfreak
    I love the green this time of year. That scene lowers the blood pressure.
  18. powderfreak
    18z EURO liked that same zone as the RGEM for the most part.
  19. powderfreak
    I mean that’s coastal climo, summer or winter so makes sense. Maybe an RGEM cut off? Blend of GFS and NAM.
  20. powderfreak
    I just want to see optimistic winter Kev interpret models in the summer. It’s just like two different people looking at the models, lol. Your summer skeptical takes are like my winter skepticism. Lean meh until solid evidence otherwise.
  21. powderfreak
    GFS looks good, lean optimistic like it’s the winter. “Big hit back to ALB” is how this would be characterized.
  22. powderfreak
    No need for rain, just sunny skies for sure. Basically this time of year doesn't matter if a day is above or below average, as long as the sun is out. 55/19 up here and looks like the same at ORH.
  23. powderfreak
    lol very willing to share your backyard low temps on these cold nights during the warm season… make sure to let us know how big of a torch your backyard sees over the next week. Think it cracks 75F? Maybe at day 8-10?
  24. powderfreak
    Ha I was trying to give the benefit of the doubt but if we are pumping that 10-day as installs and torch, this forum is jumping the shark with that bit. Getting to an incredible trigger-happy OCD level about air conditioning.
  25. powderfreak
    Got any MVL data? Know that ASOS is pretty new but it’s got 30+ years now.
×
×
  • Create New...