powderfreak

They can access it around there legally. There's a path to get to the Alpine Mart/Mobil for gas. They just can't travel on the Rec Path except for that stretch. It is signed and I've never seen anything but super considerate behavior from any snowmobilers when encountering them with the dog.

The dry slot is coming for here soon, but man it is ripping out there in Stowe Village when we left. Snow growth has been optimal, mid-level fronto style flakes. Hopefully we can maximize whatever QPF we can get back this way.

3/4sm -SN Closing in on an inch.

Nice spot! We’ve been there a few times, never in winter though.

Snowy evening dog walk on the groomed trail out back. Saw a few snowmobiles coming from VAST.

We’ve been seeing under the beam light snow past couple days, just saturated low levels and stratus deck producing snow. -SN

Even up here that was a pretty wet pasty snow. Winter wonderlands.

Had almost an inch last night and this morning in town of like snizzle. Seemed to be just falling out of moist low levels. Smallest flakes.

Chickens look crushed on many of these runs. Coop Crushers.

HRRR looks much more reasonable than NAM though. HERPIES way south.

3km NAM bump north. Maine guys destroyed there. Weird, there’s the super amped run. 12k GFS is way south though.

One would hope there would be more critical thinking involved there by the people analyzing a prediction, ha. I think that’s what we are getting at. Like someone in summer who is obsessed with heat and dews, saying it’ll be hot and humid this summer, especially July and August…then wanting credit for that skillful “call.” If that person were to exist of course.

Ha that’s like a Giants fan that hates the Patriots saying “Screw the Pats, they are going 0-16 this season. F*ck ‘em.” I guess they would be correct if the Pats go 0-16? But no one is patting them on the back saying “Hey, solid analysis. Your deep understanding of football teams there really showed.”

Yeah for sure, it depends on everyone’s perspective on what they’ve experienced so far and that’s what they project to other people. Like I’ve never seen guys like you and DIT so down and out. Up here, it’s not been a good winter but I’ve somehow managed snow cover for the most part since like mid-November. Not deep winter but white outside. I can’t see the everything is wrong all the time side, but if it rained 7 straight times in mid-winter, I don’t blame many of you. These winters that are tough certainly see folks projecting all sorts of vibes based on what they see outside.

A lot of these vibes this year. “Well, if it rains enough, the snow will melt. So don’t try to act satisfied or enjoy it. And then if it does melt you’ll be sad and I’ll get some odd satisfaction from that.” Or ”The pattern might only be favorable for 2-3 weeks, then we probably go right back to shit. So you all should just focus on that and be miserable, instead of trying to enjoy the favorable period.”

But it’s not gone, ha. It’s there and people are enjoying themselves. Can’t live in fear of it melting.

You get like 0.60” QPF as snow in a 3-hr period. Just crushing 1-2”/hr rates with 5-6” in 3 hours.

Lol that’s wild. 12-18” zone.

Hope it works for you Kev, need to see you get your mojo back. A nice pasty winter scene cures all.

Yeah 40" is a good ballpark reading for woods skiing. Of course there are a lot of factors, most importantly is snow water equivalent (SWE) or just LE in the snowpack. Next up would be type of terrain, low angle vs. steep and additionally how well it is maintained for glade skiing (if at all). Today was the first day I skied in the woods and the Stake only grew a few inches to 26" or 27" I think, despite the 6-7" storm total through this afternoon (might have grabbed another inch or so this evening). The upper elevation, low angle woods were more than ready despite the stake value. Old-timer and wise skiers and legendary ski patrollers always use 40" as the rough baseline, but the water in the snowpack really matters. That is what supports the skier/rider above the ground and forms the frozen barrier between you and the ground. More so than inches of snow, but we measure inches of snow much more easily and therefor it's a good rough estimate. This current snowpack (or icepack) is rock hard and stout. You will not break through it in any way. The last snow/sleet/freezing rain event added significant QPF that almost entirely froze in the snowpack before this system came along. If you don't see a rock, you will not hit a rock... because it's covered in ice. It can be a slick layer but today's snowfall was just dense enough to bond well. It also fluffed up a bit. Good snow growth in a marginal profile and we came out on the right side of it. Anyway, 40" of upslope or lake effect fluff on 1.5" of water at 25-30:1 ratios is a much different beast than like 4" (maybe more?) of SWE/LE in 27" of "snowpack" (more like block of ice with fresh snow on top). Right now we have the latter. I liked a 4-8" snowfall, given the surface temperatures. 5-10" higher elevations. The forecast was for a decent QPF event despite temperatures. A widespread 0.50"< SWE event for the region.

Weak inverted trough-like feature mixed with blocked, most likely? I don’t know, but there’s some synoptic forcing along with low level orographics keeping snow lingering in the mountains. Moist low levels in place, so sloshing air probably creating flakes fairly easily.

At a 6" system total and still snowing though much lighter than an hour or two ago. It's been over 24 hours now of snow, not the whole time but the vast majority. SWE has to be near 0.60" at a minimum? Pretty similar to what the modeled mean had up here. It's been pretty pasty but the flake size has been good.

1.75" since the 4" this morning at 5am. We are just shy of 6" but it's snowing pretty good right now. Mix of large flakes and small flakes. 1500ft saw 4.5" + 2.0" at 4pm, so it was 6.5" up the road a couple hours ago.

Nice dude! Think you take this one. Good to see a win there.

I’m not even sure where you are to be honest, but years of seeing your posts and photos (thank you) you definitely seem to be in a SNE snow pocket. Also retain snow extremely well it seems.