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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. That is a drastic difference than everything else. That won’t help Kev move off forecasting through fear.
  2. Yeah agreed. Usually that stripe means a narrower area of heavy rain training totals, amid a more general widespread rain. I like your layout... say a narrow stripe of 2-3", among a more widespread 0.75-1.25" or something. Either way, should be a nice widespread drink.
  3. I can't. I give up. Can only show a horse where the water is but can't make him drink it.
  4. Toss in the Hirpes too as a big shift westward. Weird all the mesos like 3km NAM, HRRR, HRDPS, etc are so big way west. Must have identical algorithms or something.
  5. Are you drunk? Or I'm more and more convinced you never look at model guidance (Twitter does not count as looking at model guidance lol). GFS/GGEM/RGEM/3kNAM/HRRR all westward shifts at 12z. GFS: GGEM went west. RGEM went west.
  6. 3km goes 2-4” swath through heart of forum. 12z HRRR.
  7. I love the green this time of year. That scene lowers the blood pressure.
  8. 18z EURO liked that same zone as the RGEM for the most part.
  9. I mean that’s coastal climo, summer or winter so makes sense. Maybe an RGEM cut off? Blend of GFS and NAM.
  10. I just want to see optimistic winter Kev interpret models in the summer. It’s just like two different people looking at the models, lol. Your summer skeptical takes are like my winter skepticism. Lean meh until solid evidence otherwise.
  11. GFS looks good, lean optimistic like it’s the winter. “Big hit back to ALB” is how this would be characterized.
  12. No need for rain, just sunny skies for sure. Basically this time of year doesn't matter if a day is above or below average, as long as the sun is out. 55/19 up here and looks like the same at ORH.
  13. lol very willing to share your backyard low temps on these cold nights during the warm season… make sure to let us know how big of a torch your backyard sees over the next week. Think it cracks 75F? Maybe at day 8-10?
  14. Ha I was trying to give the benefit of the doubt but if we are pumping that 10-day as installs and torch, this forum is jumping the shark with that bit. Getting to an incredible trigger-happy OCD level about air conditioning.
  15. Got any MVL data? Know that ASOS is pretty new but it’s got 30+ years now.
  16. That looks perfect for windows open, maybe some A/C on the 86/53 day? What a Chamber forecast right there.
  17. Looks like 21.9F at local PWS. MVL either 21-22F. Vegetation crying.
  18. 28/21 This should accelerate the leaf change, peak foliage next week?
  19. Wind finally going calm. Still decent dew depression. 32/21
  20. Yeah for sure… I mean we all know the install thing is, what do they call it in entertainment, “a bit?” Same with the Stein stuff… sort of the forum’s bit. All in jest, but in reality I’ll alternate A/C to heat whenever needed… even back-to-back days. I’m with Pickles, just do whatever makes one comfortable and it’s no badge of honor to not turn on heat because it’s May… or not use A/C because it’s April.
  21. Yeah looks about on par for those who usually wait later into May before needing them. Instead of the second week of April or so.
  22. Everything at about 900mb was frozen solid with a tenth of an inch of clear ice on it, so probably saw some freezing rain with the FROPA last evening before snowflakes.
  23. Currier and Ives type of May afternoon at your favorite hotel up here. It feels even colder now than earlier. Its like legit hat and gloves weather now.
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