powderfreak

Can’t wait to do the RGEM next and debate it vs the Euro .

I don’t like that primary low, ha. Warm mid-levels doesn’t seem like a huge stretch with the mid-level set-up. That primary low makes it like a SWFE on the front side. Like Scooter said, it makes sense to some degree but it’s also the NAM.

3km looks like you get to -1C but unsure if the warmest is right at 700mb. Might sneak above near there.

700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you.

Theres a warm nose early that gets up through BTV on that run. Then gets shunted SE.

Ginxy is here for none of it. This forum is hilarious sometimes.

Yeah Synoptics say we don’t see widespread big snows in New England with that track. 6-12” yeah but the two footer stuff is tough with that H7.

You have to favor NW of the lower and middle level pressure minimums. So disjointed, but feels like a Adirondacks and NW jackpot based on the current progs.

Yeah of course, we all should realize the 18z only goes out that far and would be assumed… the initial WAA shown is what sneaks into the run duration.

18z Euro positive snow depth increase is best next to you up into higher terrain of S.Greens and Monadnocks.

Easter Sunrise Service this morning featured terrible frozen groomular, foot massage stuff. But despite the lack of a sunrise due to cloud cover, I absolutely love the passion for a 5am Gondola ride to the top. For 68 years there has been a Sunrise Service at just over 3,600ft. Started out at the Octagon, and has migrated to the Cliff House. Both within 10 feet of elevation of each other; people have been en masse at 3,625ft on Easter morning for many people’s lives.

Where’s that?! Flowers/color on the ground?

This communication is solid. The eclipse and late-season nature of this season makes the short notice harder in the public eye.

Can’t do a lot up high during the Bicknell’s Thrush time frame… it makes sense operationally. You don’t want a lift replacement at that elevation to start off behind schedule either. You know issues will crop up over the summer and fall too, these lift replacements are tough. If they decided it was not possible to complete on time without cutting the current season short, it’s a sound long-game plan. I just imagine if a Vail-owned mountain did this (announce days prior a main lift closure, stopping summit access, especially ahead of the eclipse)… would be a bloodbath.

18z Euro continuing to focus more on the primary. The WAA thump is much less while it puts a 20-burger in the St Lawrence Valley in NW NY. 12z through 96hrs: To new 18z through 90 hours:

Yeah you’re right, it’s NW slopes of the Dacks into Canada. That SFC track is Adirondacks all the way too. Though low level jet on front side would be enough to get NH/ME foothills/Mtns. Thats a classic track for a split here in N.VT between mid-level synoptic lift west and low level WCB lifting east. Occluded mess.

That’s an Adirondacks look right there. H7 low goes over like SLK.

You’re good on Tuesday, this event up here is now like later Wednesday and Thursday. But you have to drive through it I guess before it gets north ha.

There’s a decent NNE contingency, I feel like it’s stronger than it has been in past years with a couple of the new posters too. But post count has dropped quite a lot since those Dec 1992 runs.

ICON inland now. Much warmer.

There is something to keeping some southern runs going or this thread does very fast. Already happening.

Don't discount it. Joins the rest of the party.

The NAM was thoroughly discounted the past couple events when it was on its own. Remember all that snowfall it was showing just a couple days ago for that long-duration rainer? Amped up into the cold sector?

Good bump north on the Canadian.

GFS is interesting. Still going through Saturday, ha. Interesting how there’s no 10:1 snow in ORH Hills but snow depth increases…