nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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UKMET precip shield shifted north. Now gets precip north of RIC vs just north of the VA/NC border at 12z.
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My streaming must be delayed but I knew when I saw these RR
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I literally yelled “you dipsh$t” at the TV when he committed that.
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My gut says we see snow from this. And I’m not ruling out a warning-level storm though I think the chances of that are low right now but obviously on the table given the small shift at this range that we’d need. And is it me or does it feel like we’ve been tracking this forever? And its still 5 days away lol
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Increases to about 5.5” by 144. The yo yo continues. ETA: 6” by 150.
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Lazy as$ play by the Caps
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I’ve called out some of Wilson’s hits when they deserved it. The game vs the Devils last week...he shouldn’t have been dealt with a major but with that said, it was a stupid hit. He can be a little reckless since he likes to play right up to the line...and sometimes he crosses it. But lets call a spade a spade...that hit by Reaves deserves a review by the league. It was reckless and cheap.
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We had some good looks but couldn’t find the back of the net. Gotta capitalize at the start of the 3rd.
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If it were the Pens, Sullivan would spend intermission doing a press conference whining about the play and discussing the injury (which injuries are rarely disclosed in hockey) to be sure to get a favorable ruling.
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Definition of a blindside hit and interference.
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Reaves is such a goon. Hopefully Wilson isn’t seriously hurt.
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Dtk posted a few pages back that the mageval.ncep.noaa site is actually the FV3 when you click GFS.
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FV3 is out on the NOAA website: http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php?group=Model Guidance&model=gfs&area=namer&ps=area 0.25” QPF to DC.
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I’d take this and run. 2-3” in Arlington. 6” just west of EZF.
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Precip to the M/D line at 120.
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It’s early in the GFS run but confluence pressing down stronger vs 18z. We’ll see how it plays out.
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I wish that was the GFS or Euro at 84H. You’d think a storm was ready to hit DC with that look.
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Eeyore is here!
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I wish Mitch would come back
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At least I just poured a nice Malbec....HH GFS be damned.
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Yeah, 18z GEFS isn’t pretty based on the mean QPF and snowfall. ~0.3” QPF and 1.5” snowfall on the mean. Compared to 0.8” and 6” at 12z.
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I don’t see it on TT or weathernerds
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It’s certainly becoming more and more believable. If we can’t get the confluence to relax, this scenario seems to be our next best shot. Ensembles have been slowly catching on.
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I actually think that was one of the better GFS (non FV3) runs we’ve had (except for the blip 18z yesterday). Yes, trying to time a phase is tricky but all signs point to confluence over NE being too strong to overcome with the initial Vort. We need the feature diving in from the plains to phase and bring it up the coast. GFS was close. Onto the GEFS!
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Nice! Thanks Yoda
