nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Last year had a cold November (-AO if i remember correctly) followed by...well we know what followed that. Not saying we should expect it to be 100% opposite of last year — but what happens in November doesn’t set the stage for the rest of the winter is my point.
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GFS has upslope snow showers for Garrett County & Canaan Sunday night into Monday. It’d be the first flakes of the season.
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front loaded especially if it means a white Christmas. Delayed usually means denied around here
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I still think we’ll ‘luck’ into a storm this year even if the indices say we’re fooked...its hard to have two back to back abysmal winters.
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0.4” on the day. Temp up to 37 (should continue to rise overnight).
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That was the first year I started tracking storms on models and I remember thinking “geesh, what’s so hard about this...we keep getting perfect storm setups”. Ahhh - then reality set up in subsequent winters...
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Cold powder with no mixing worries along/east of 95 with any storm in winter is a blessing, especially pre-Christmas.
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A 6a high of 40 and currently down to 36 with a stiff ESE wind. 0.14” of rain on the day. If only it was a few degrees cooler.
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3a high of 62 then winds shifted out of the NW and temps dropped - currently 47 with low clouds/fog and a few showers. Great day to make a stew.
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It’s a bit ironic that trick or treating is cancelled on the one day people actually wear masks/costumes covering their face. Ob: sunny and warm
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This winter already beats last winter. I’m not even sure we got a storm within 10 days on a model.
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We’d be better off shutting down this thread and the MR/LR thread. Clearly it’ll be 52 and rainy from D through March.
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Looking forward to the warm temps this week...I’d never turn down upper 70s and sun in October.
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Yeah, 33 has been the coldest low so far. Forecast is upper 20s to low 30s in the county tonight. multiple frosts but first widespread freeze tonight (freeze warning for Cumberland/west).
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39/33. On the way to the first freeze.
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Freeze watch posted for the Mountains and 81 corridor in VA.
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Looks like I'll be spending Halloween in Deep Creek. A foot of snow and a bag of Reese's Cups sounds great.
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I think @CAPE will stress about his rain soaked mosquito bog based on the models.
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I think you missed the point of my post.
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Tracking winter used to be way more fun before these long range seasonal models came around.
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0.2” total. GFS did the best while the Euro and especially the NAM twins were way too wet.
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0.15” here. I love sitting on the porch listening to the light rain fall.
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Time to jump in the lake!
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Euro has caved to the GFS out here. Now showing only about 0.3”. We’ve just had some drizzle/light rain here amounting to a big fat 0.01”.
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GFS is on an island of its own out here. Barely 0.3” with the others all showing 1-2”+. Maybe an early preview of model wars for our blockbuster winter.
