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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. GFS has some snow showers next Monday in the region with the NS disturbance swinging through the NE. Mountains pick up 9”+ through MLK Day from the cold front, upslope, and the NS disturbance. Great timing for the holiday weekend and hope its right as I’ll be back in Deep Creek on Friday.
  2. I’m looking forward to your 5 minutes of snow TV so you can rub it in CAPE’s face you were right.
  3. That’s a lot of scrolling through blue
  4. BAMWX is overrated, as is Twitter.
  5. I'll let someone way smarter than me confirm, but wouldn't you expect a 50/50 low and western ridge to show stronger on an ensemble mean than a random azz gulf low 15 days out?
  6. Dude, its a smoothed 324H mean. It's not going to show a parade of 982 LPs riding along the coast. I'll take my chances with a 50/50, blocking, and lower anomaly pressures in the heart of climo any day. The constant search for a PERFECT pattern is tiring and a waste of time.
  7. Yeah, I think snow TV/mix is in the cards for N&W of 95.
  8. For folks who like snowfall maps, 6z GEFS is most bullish of the season (outside the lead up to the December event). 6” line is just east of Dulles.
  9. The weenie in me says GEFS caught onto the gung ho block first then the others picked up on it this week. Itshappening.
  10. GFS has energy in the SW at 180....if we could get it to eject (and of course not get shredded).
  11. At this rate, would be nice to get some snow in the Beltway, even if light.
  12. My Cousin Vinny is on Paramount network. Such a great movie.
  13. Whooooosh. And it went over my head...
  14. Yes, that’s a full on west-based/Baffin block. And its trapping a piece of the PV under the block.
  15. Euro is less bullish than GFS for upslope potential this weekend into Monday. A couple inches on the Euro vs 4-8”+ on the GFS.
  16. 6z GFS says head to Wisp or Canaan this weekend for the 3 day weekend.
  17. NAO seems to have staying power so I'm still bullish on our chances (not talking KU but keeping expectations in check on warning event) even if this exercise is frustrating AF.
  18. Delayed usually means denied around here. If we're now talking about late Jan/early Feb, we seem to just keep kicking the can down the road. I'm not saying we won't score, but its starting to feel like we just keep pushing things to the right in terms of looks that translate to actual threats.
  19. We’ll soon be adding a new chapter to the mid-Atlantic climo book. “How to go snowless in a -AO/-NAO pattern”
  20. That’s what sports are made of. Time to jump on the Browns bandwagon as a fair weather football fan.
  21. Seems like we’d be better off with the pattern in December....at least DC got some frozen with that.
  22. Really happy for the Browns and their fans. I’d love to see a Buffalo vs Cleveland AFC title game (sorry Ravens fans!)
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