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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    Great if you live in northern Canada!
  2. nj2va
    Verbatim, surface is roasting in DC on the GFS so rain. I’m not really buying it but who knows
  3. nj2va
    The DC winter visualized
  4. nj2va
    Definitely cold out there. But I had to crack open the sunroof in the car today while driving....sun angle made the car feel warm.
  5. nj2va
    Now we just need Ji and Osfan to come in here and say they’re not interested in a light event - as if we live in Bangor, ME and don’t blink as less than a foot.
  6. nj2va
    Took a few steps to the GFS. Obviously not as wound up near the coast but a nice middle ground on this run.
  7. nj2va
    I don’t know, Euro is looking better to me. Snowing in DC Thursday AM.
  8. nj2va
    Euro gives MBY almost 2.5” of snow on the Kuchera maps....cut that in half and that’s still more than I was expecting here.
  9. nj2va
    Lol. 993 south of VA beach, 540 thickness over the NN, and GFS has rain over DC.
  10. nj2va
    ULL is further south....lower heights out front through 90.
  11. nj2va
    Good catch, yep the placement of that feature looks to be key. GFS handling it totally differently.
  12. nj2va
    ICON is a weak POS wave that just slides off the coast. Some very light (less than an inch) snow to CVA.
  13. nj2va
    I was about to say the same thing. I can already see their map. 20% chance of 1”, 20% chance of 3”, 20% chance of trace, 20% chance of 6”, 20% chance of 12”. “We nailed the storm!”
  14. nj2va
    That is the 12k NAM.
  15. nj2va
    Not that I think Deep Creek will see 1.5” of ice accretion but even half of that is a huge deal. Geez.
  16. nj2va
    SN- in Arlington!
  17. nj2va
    I wonder if this trends into your Nina beach blizzard?
  18. nj2va
    Yes euro didn’t spit out a foot of snow but I don’t think it was as bad as the reaction. It just needed to be a bit more amped and the solution would have been better. That’s not a huge adjustment to make in the MR.
  19. nj2va
    3-4” verbatim for DC (north to south). Highest in 2 years. ETA: Richmond over a foot.
  20. nj2va
    Para keeps the heaviest stuff south but has snow up into the area. Central VA does very well.
  21. nj2va
    I’m pretty sure its verification scores are below GFS this winter.
  22. nj2va
    Ukie is a terrible model
  23. nj2va
    Quite the signal considering this is a 24 hour total on an ensemble given some timing differences, etc.
  24. nj2va
    GGEM looks great. Considering DC hasn’t seen more than an 1” of snow in over 2 years, not sure how anyone can scoff at the GGEM solution showing 7-10” (except Ji).
  25. nj2va
    Get that negative tilt a bit sooner and boom even more?
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