You’re missing the party in the Obs thread. Snowing here now.
Yeah 6-12” seems like a good call...I’d think we’re on the higher end of that come Wednesday.
Yeah, just noticed it now....got grauple/tiny flakes. What’s snow cover like where you are? Basically full coverage here but interestingly when I went ‘into town’/McHenry on 219, much spottier.
My guess is you’ll easily have over a foot through MLK (with more following on Tuesday/Wednesday) since you do even better in upslope than here.
We’re here through Wednesday night and I’m thinking I’ll see 8-10” through Wednesday but upside for higher totals.
Maybe I’ll head down to the brewery one day! Although I’m sure this weekend will be crowded there. Wisp already sold out of lift tickets tomorrow/Sunday (for non season pass holders).
Nice, at your future place in WV? You picked a great weekend to come out here....snow showers everyday from upslope and the upper level system on Sunday/Monday. 6-8” through MLK day.
I was just about to say that we can't deny that we just keep punting threat windows and can't seem to get legit threats within 10 days. Delayed usually means denied around here but its hard for me to wrap my head around we don't at least get a warning event with that type of -NAO/50-50 look. If we don't score, then all bets are off the table with what it takes to get snow around here.
It was gorgeous watching it in my rearview mirror as I was on 70 W heading to Deep Creek.
Just got here...31 degrees and still basically have full snow cover which was surprising given the lack of fresh snow here over the last 2 weeks basically.
HRRR also did really well (at least in Deep Creek) with the December storm. In other upslope events, has done well too this winter.
I can’t comment on the long range HRRR though.
Anyone see any data recently on SST/Nina strength? DT posted something about a month ago showing some models predicting a mod Nina vs strong...hard to predict the outcomes of that but could help us in late winter. I can't remember where he pulled that from or else I'd go try to find it.
LFG.
The 28th storm is looking good so far. Nice H pressing down from Canada. Solid confluence. Big area of precip over TX blossoming.
Oof, looks like it'll be OTS..
Negativity spreads like wildfire around here and things are already smoldering this morning. If early 12z runs don’t show blue, it will be a straight up dumpster fire in every single thread.