nj2va

It sucks with temps IMO. I’d rely on Euro/3k/etc for that at this point.

Ukie used to be a better model…it just seems to always be off the last few years. I’d trust the higher resolution models at this point. I do think DC will likely be just under 10:1 ratios.

Btw, Pivotal’s new beta site is so much better than the old one. Took me a minute to figure out the navigation but once I did, its really good.

Glad you had a great time and yeah, that was a great winter last year here. The second you cross into the county driving up 68, it’s basically another world. It’s my happy place.

GFS has over 0.6” of QPF at Deep Creek through Sunday night with upslope snow showers continuing. What a weenie run.

Wait, models could be wrong two weeks out?

Latest from LWX:

@Chris78 Just got to Deep Creek…when we drove past Wisp, guns were blazing all over the mountain.

They're making snow on the East ridge, hopefully they can open a few by then (that would be the earliest in the last few years). They upgraded their snow making technology in the off season so hopefully that helps too.

Yeah, I definitely hear you, another nudge SW would add more confidence but having the Euro basically hold+, is great. We'll be at Deep Creek this weekend but rooting hard for DC.

10:1? I thought you were a weenie

Reading the last two pages reminds me there's too many models

Light snow falling at the house on the Ring Cam! Great pattern for the ski resorts in the Mid Atlantic.

Watch posted for the mountains: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 504 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 MDZ509-WVZ501-120615- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0011.251213T2100Z-251214T1800Z/ Western Garrett-Western Grant- 504 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 7 inches with locally higher amounts possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...In Maryland, Western Garrett County. In West Virginia, Western Grant County. * WHEN...From Saturday afternoon through Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Steady snow will overspread the area late Saturday afternoon and persist through the overnight. After daybreak Sunday, the steady snow will transition to snow showers. The heaviest snowfall rates are expected overnight Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

My dad is so mad