nj2va

Does white mean it’s off the chart higher than 24”?

Yeah, east of the ridge line is where they hold onto CAD longer than the rest of the county, so they typically have bigger impacts in ice storms. Vice versa upslope events favor west of the ridge line. We’re leaving NJ at 5a tomorrow to get out there for the week. At least it’ll turn cold next week after rain Sunday/Monday AM with upslope/snow chances.

That’s for Eastern Garrett County. Where our places are won’t see that much ice…reserved for east of the Cont divide.

Joy to the World! Merry Christmas!

Nothing says joy to the world with the birth of Christ like fighting on a weather board.

It's a beyond terrible model, I don't even bother looking at it. Not saying we're getting a crippling ice storm, but it'll be disruptive to a few areas here I think.

Merry Christmas Eve, weenies!

Latest disco: Models continue to advertise the possibility of a winter storm on Friday, particularly for locations north of I-66/U.S. 50. A preponderance of the 12Z guidance favor an area from I-70 northward across the Mason-Dixon Line into Pennsylvania. The setup is certainly favorable for a wintry mix dominated by freezing rain and sleet. Canadian high pressure builds over Quebec while a stationary boundary arcs west to east across the Carolinas. The resultant cold- air damming (CAD) signature is quite favorable to such setups. Low- level cold air becomes locked in place while warm advection above this layer ushers in milder air aloft into the (925-850 mb layer). Models are also hinting at some snow toward northern Maryland given colder thermodynamic profiles. All and all, travelers will need to consider this potential winter storm in their plans for Friday. Aside from this precipitation threat, it will be a chilly day across the region with highs in the 30s to low 40s (40s along the Alleghenies).

Ugh, we're driving from my parents house in NJ to Deep Creek Friday morning. Might need to leave around 4a to miss the weather.

GFS would at least give the ski resorts opportunities next week to make snow with favorable upslope conditions too (blah blah OP run, I know). Good timing given Christmas and New Year crowds. Given where some thought we were heading for end of the month, it doesn't seem like we're going to be staring at days and days of warm temps.

Shocked, I tell you, shocked. Would fit the seasonable pattern.

Sunset alert.

If anyone here is cancelling winter on December 21, they should go find a new hobby.

Great turnaround by the Caps tonight

2 degrees and light snow - upslope just doesn’t want to quit.