nj2va

On the bus heading into the office now. People next to me chatting excitedly about the snow. Should I tell them it’s going to be sleet instead?

We’re under 100 hours from first flakes.

Here’s WXBell total. That front end thump is hawt

Kuchie is over a foot in DC before the changeover. More N/W.

RIC is over 2” of QPF storm total. DC 1.5”

Looks like DC flips to sleet Sunday late morning/early afternoon with a warm nose at 700. But my goodness, what a thump before that. 1.2” or so of QPF in DC before that.

It’s all about expectations. 20”+ storms here aren’t common. But a nice 6-10”+ storm? Sweet.

Yeah, time to back outta the storm thread. Just useless worrying about the CMC. Even if it’s right, it’s like 6-12” of snow followed by a sleet bomb. This thing isn’t amping enough where we’re looking at no snow - sorry, its just not happening.

Oh get ready for the freak outs about amped / sleet in the storm thread.

“Conservative” 10:1 map from CMC. This far out, all these various scenarios still are showing our best chance at a 6”+ threat region wide. Love that.

It’s up past Baltimore - Winchester for a time

CMC is definitely quicker than GFS. Snow breaking out Saturday evening.

Feels weird there’s not a low in the Great Lakes fooking up our thermals. This is money.

Geez 1.3” of QPF on ICON. The fetch off the Gulf on the 700RH map is awesome too.