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Wannabehippie

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Everything posted by Wannabehippie

  1. Wannabehippie
    The convection is trying to wrap around what appears to be the LLC, but that ULL is still causing the convection to be displaced. It is like every time some wraps around, it gets blown to the east.
  2. Wannabehippie
    How well has the HWRF handled Fred so far?
  3. Wannabehippie
    How much it will redevelop after it goes over Hispaniola will depend entirely on if there is any shear once it clears the island. The waters are still pretty warm out there, even with Fred stirring things up. But you can have temps in the 90s, if there is shear to tear it apart, it won't develop IMHO.
  4. Wannabehippie
  5. Wannabehippie
    Fred is such a mess, I don't think you can call anything involved with it 'banding'
  6. Wannabehippie
    One is probably the LLC, the other the MLC, as there is a lot of shear going on.
  7. Wannabehippie
    So. where exactly is the closed LLC of Fred at?
  8. Wannabehippie
    I don't care if the GoM waters are as warm as hell, if that shear doesn't get out of the way, Fred won't be able to do any rapid intensification.
  9. Wannabehippie
    NHC still has it right along the coast of Cuba, or just inland. LLC and MLC definitely not lined up. Once it clears Cuba airspace we will get a better idea of what is going on as the hurricane hunters head back in. Mission from earlier today
  10. Wannabehippie
    Who wants to break it to Turtle that the thunderstorms he is seeing is more likely from the ULL in the GoM, than from Fred which still looks like a disorganized mess. (even if there is a big blow up of convection south of Cuba, well away from the LLC.)
  11. Wannabehippie
    LLC still seems to be along the northern coast of Cuba.
  12. Wannabehippie
    I wonder if potential Grace will get torn apart like Fred did if this course going right over Hispaniola holds true.
  13. Wannabehippie
    Hispaniola will see mudslides, flooding, especially on the Haiti side. The mountains on that side have been denuded of trees for the most part, unlike on the DR side.
  14. Wannabehippie
    That is 11 days out. Lots of time for path, intensity predictions to change. Let me know when it has this within 5 days.
  15. Wannabehippie
    LLC is running parallel to the northern coast of Cuba, the convection is all displaced to the south.
  16. Wannabehippie
    Check where Hurricane Josh is setting up shop. He has a nose for where storms are coming onshore.
  17. Wannabehippie
    upper lows to the NW and NE of Fred, so upper air is not all that favorable right now for any rapid intensifying.
  18. Wannabehippie
    There must be crazy rainfall rates right now in Hispaniola.
  19. Wannabehippie
    All JB cares about is hype to boost page clicks.
  20. Wannabehippie
    Yanks have been playing in a steady rain all night long. I can't believe they never went in to another rain delay, after a delayed start due to lightning in the area.
  21. Wannabehippie
    What kind of ratios will NYC/LI see for this storm? 10:1? lower?
  22. Wannabehippie
    When is the GFSv16 supposed to take over for the main GFS? Originally it was 'early winter 2021'.
  23. Wannabehippie
    Overdone IMHO.
  24. Wannabehippie
    Too bad the GFS para is real shitty.
  25. Wannabehippie
    Anyone here an expert on atmospheric science and things like the Polar Vortex?
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