ChescoWx

From uncle w based on those warm early Octobers.... some great years on that list... 1898...big snows end of November...historic snow and cold in February...weak neg year...(February 1899 largest 3 day snowstorm in Chester County History 53" ending Feb 14th) 1959...almost -6SD AO in November...White Christmas storm...March Blizzard...neutral... 2002...Christmas day snowstorm...cold and snowy February...el nino... 2013...cold, snowy winter...weak neg... 1922...cold snowy winter...la nina... 1919...cold snowy winter...huge snow and ice storm in February...weak pos year... 1932...snowstorms in December and February...weak pos year..... other years...el nino...snowfall... 1941...11.3"...cold Jan/Feb...inland late March and April snows... 1951...20"...good March... 1986...23"...better south of the city... 2018...21"...Nov snowstorm...good March... 1905...20"...good March... 1991...13"...good March... these el nino winters with a good March were not great winters...except for 86 most of the action came late in the season...

From uncle w based on those warm early Octobers.... some great years on that list... 1898...big snows end of November...historic snow and cold in February...weak neg year... 1959...almost -6SD AO in November...White Christmas storm...March Blizzard...neutral... 2002...Christmas day snowstorm...cold and snowy February...el nino... 2013...cold, snowy winter...weak neg... 1922...cold snowy winter...la nina... 1919...cold snowy winter...huge snow and ice storm in February...weak pos year... 1932...snowstorms in December and February...weak pos year..... other years...el nino...snowfall... 1941...11.3"...cold Jan/Feb...inland late March and April snows... 1951...20"...good March... 1986...23"...better south of the city... 2018...21"...Nov snowstorm...good March... 1905...20"...good March... 1991...13"...good March... these el nino winters with a good March were not great winters...except for 86 most of the action came late in the season...

These first 5 days of October have been the 21st warmest start to the month since 1894. See top 20 below. However, a sharp change to below normal begins tomorrow. In fact today looks to be the last day that reaches 70 degrees for at least a couple weeks and possibly until next spring, Temps by Sunday and Monday will remain in the unseasonably chilly 50's by day and low 40's at night. Some showers can be around today with steadier rain overnight tonight with the cold frontal passage. Records for today: High 94 (1900) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.00" (1932) First 5 days of October Rank Year Avg. Temp 1 1898 73.1 2 1941 73.1 3 1954 71.9 4 1959 70.3 5 2002 70.2 6 1951 70.0 7 1927 69.3 8 1900 69.0 9 1926 68.8 10 1986 68.6 11 2013 68.31 12 1922 68.2 13 1919 67.4 14 1931 67.1 15 2018 66.96 16 1905 66.6 17 1910 66.6 18 2007 66.6 19 1932 66.1 20 1991 66.1

These first 5 days of October have been the 21st warmest start to the month since 1894. See top 20 below. However, a sharp change to below normal begins tomorrow. In fact today looks to be the last day that reaches 70 degrees for at least a couple weeks and possibly until next spring, Temps by Sunday and Monday will remain in the unseasonably chilly 50's by day and low 40's at night. Some showers can be around today with steadier rain overnight tonight with the cold frontal passage. Records for today: High 94 (1900) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.00" (1932) First 5 days of October Rank Year Avg. Temp 1 1898 73.1 2 1941 73.1 3 1954 71.9 4 1959 70.3 5 2002 70.2 6 1951 70 7 1927 69.3 8 1900 69 9 1926 68.8 10 1986 68.6 11 2013 68.31 12 1922 68.2 13 1919 67.4 14 1931 67.1 15 2018 66.96 16 1905 66.6 17 1910 66.6 18 2007 66.6 19 1932 66.1 20 1991 66.1

You need to move up hill to your neighbor in Reading....while you almost touched 90 he couldn't escape the 70's

We have had a very warm start here to October with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70's to low 80's across the County. Today and the next couple of days will continue that trend. However, we will see a sharp turn to much cooler than normal temperatures by the weekend. We may see temps across the higher spots of Chester County remaining in the low 50's on Sunday. We should see below normal autumnal temps continuing for most of next week. We will see rain chances ramping up by Friday evening continuing through Saturday AM. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 94 (1941) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.04" (1902)

We have had a very warm start here to October with high temperatures ranging from the upper 70's to low 80's across the County. Today and the next couple of days will continue that trend. However, we will see a sharp turn to much cooler than normal temperatures by the weekend. We may see temps across the higher spots of Chester County remaining in the low 50's on Sunday. We should see below normal autumnal temps continuing for most of next week. We will see rain chances ramping up by Friday evening continuing through Saturday AM. Go Phillies! Records for today: High 94 (1941) / Low 28 (1965) / Rain 2.04" (1902)

All I do is post the actual available climate data for all of the sites in my area. Clearly most of the COOP and AWOS sites around me had a below normal September. Yet we all know when the NCEI numbers come out it will of course be warm!! They will make the necessary "adjustments" to get the data "right"

Jns2183 this too is my belief... the earth is absolutely warming that is a fact!! I too am all about doing good things for our planet. What is not clear is was there similar warming between 1345 and 1545 on the planet? What was the normal high during that period? How many degrees above or below normal was it? 1c?? Answer...we really truly do not know....

So how do they pull together the data for the county if not through the NWS observer data? That said it will of course show warming....Could those "official" sites have a warm bias?? By the way in New Holland NWS COOP site also a below normal September - 13th chilliest September with 32 years of record....

But of course not in Chester County!! Plus strangely...you seem to have left off a below normal month at Allentown and also at Hamburg in Berks County - at Hamburg it was the 55th chilliest September with 130 years of record....

Happy Red October to those who celebrate! The Phillies should have perfect unseasonably warm weather. Weather wise we are very similar to exactly 16 years ago today back in 2007 when the Phillies played their 1st post season game since 1993. For those 2 games at home high temps in Philly were in the 80's. Here in East Nantmeal we recorded highs of 78.6 and 79.6 on the 3rd and 4th. Hopefully the results are different as the Phillies were swept in 3 games by the Rockies. Our Indian Summer weather should continue through the week before a sharp turn to well below normal by the weekend. High temperatures both Sunday and Monday may not escape the mid-50's. Records for today: High 91 (1919) / Low 26 (1899) / Rain 1.21" (1985) GO PHILLIES!

Happy Red October to those who celebrate! The Phillies should have perfect unseasonably warm weather. Weather wise we are very similar to exactly 16 years ago today back in 2007 when the Phillies played their 1st post season game since 1993. For those 2 games at home high temps in Philly were in the 80's. Here in East Nantmeal we recorded highs of 78.6 and 79.6 on the 3rd and 4th. Hopefully the results are different as the Phillies were swept in 3 games by the Rockies. Our Indian Summer weather should continue through the week before a sharp turn to well below normal by the weekend. High temperatures both Sunday and Monday may not escape the mid-50's. Records for today: High 91 (1919) / Low 26 (1899) / Rain 1.21" (1985) GO PHILLIES!

Some lower spots across the county reached the low 50's this morning - this is still a few degrees above normal as our average low temperatures during October fall from the upper 40's to start the month to near 40 by Halloween. Of note last October we only recorded 1 day of 70 degrees or above....this week we will see every day of the work week well into the 70's with even 80 degrees possible both Tuesday and Wednesday especially in the low spots of the area. Next rain chances are not till Friday night with the cold frontal passage that will send out temps to well below normal by next weekend. Records for today: High 88 (2019) / Low 28 (1899) / Rain 3.18" (1929)

Some lower spots across the county reached the low 50's this morning - this is still a few degrees above normal as our average low temperatures during October fall from the upper 40's to start the month to near 40 by Halloween. Of note last October we only recorded 1 day of 70 degrees or above....this week we will see every day of the work week well into the 70's with even 80 degrees possible both Tuesday and Wednesday especially in the low spots of the area. Next rain chances are not till Friday night with the cold frontal passage that will send out temps to well below normal by next weekend. Records for today: High 88 (2019) / Low 28 (1899) / Rain 3.18" (1929)

Go Phillies!!! and Birds!!

Well we finished September at near to below normal temperatures at all Chester County locations with the exception of the Glenmoore coop station - which recorded one of their warmest Septembers on record. Of the 5 COOP locations only Glenmoore finished well above normal with an average temperature of 68.4 which is +1.6 degrees above the 30 year average for the month. This was also the 19th warmest September at Glenmoore across 67 years of data. Both KPTW Pottstown 65.5 degrees finished at -0.8 below normal and Phoenixville 66.6 degrees (0.7) finished with below normal temperatures good for 65th chilliest at Phoenixville with 131 years of data and 10th chilliest at KPTW with 25 years of records. Both KMQS Coatesville 67.1 +0.3 and here in East Nantmeal 65.4 +0.02 finished with slightly above normal temps with KMQS recording their 8th warmest September with 16 years of records and EN recording their 62nd warmest September with 130 years of records. The week ahead looks great with well above temps....we could in fact reach 80 degrees across some lower spots of the county for the last time this year on Wednesday. Much cooler weather returns by next weekend.

Well we finished September at near to below normal temperatures at all Chester County locations with the exception of the Glenmoore coop station - which recorded one of their warmest Septembers on record. Of the 5 COOP locations only Glenmoore finished well above normal with an average temperature of 68.4 which is +1.6 degrees above the 30 year average for the month. This was also the 19th warmest September at Glenmoore across 67 years of data. Both KPTW Pottstown 65.5 degrees finished at -0.8 below normal and Phoenixville 66.6 degrees (0.7) finished with below normal temperatures good for 65th chilliest at Phoenixville with 131 years of data and 10th chilliest at KPTW with 25 years of records. Both KMQS Coatesville 67.1 +0.3 and here in East Nantmeal 65.4 +0.02 finished with slightly above normal temps with KMQS recording their 8th warmest September with 16 years of records and EN recording their 62nd warmest September with 130 years of records. The week ahead looks great with well above temps....we could in fact reach 80 degrees across some lower spots of the county for the last time this year on Wednesday. Much cooler weather returns by next weekend.

We had some light rain overnight with 0.04" in the bucket. Cloudy today but the sun returns tomorrow with a nice run of rare above normal days for most of the work week. A turn to chillier weather looks to be likely by next weekend with even some 30's and some lower elevation frost possible in about 2 weeks time. Records for today: High 88 (1986) / 33 (1992) / Rain 2.99" (2010)

We had some light rain overnight with 0.04" in the bucket. Cloudy today but the sun returns tomorrow with a nice run of rare above normal days for most of the work week. A turn to chillier weather looks to be likely by next weekend with even some 30's and some lower elevation frost possible in about 2 weeks time. Records for today: High 88 (1986) / 33 (1992) / Rain 2.99" (2010)

We have picked up .05" of rain this AM we could see a few more showers today but most of the heavy rain will be to our east and north. Clouds linger tomorrow but the sun returns and finally some warmer weather by Sunday and this sunny above normal stretch should last till next weekend when we see temps slip back below normal averages for early October. Records for today: High 93 (1921)/ Low 31 (1947) / Rain 1.84 (1924)

If you don't trust that science...They will brace yourself!! Call you a science denier.....that hurts so bad I know but we must try and rise above this indignity!!

This is of course the problem. We have no validated past history and the model predictions are just that predictions. This is of course simple cyclical climate change. That said I am all about doing good things for the old planet earth! However seems a bit pompous to me to believe little old humans can do anything to impact the climate.....well except to cause UHI contamination....

We have picked up .05" of rain this AM we could see a few more showers today but most of the heavy rain will be to our east and north. Clouds linger tomorrow but the sun returns and finally some warmer weather by Sunday and this sunny above normal stretch should last till next weekend when we see temps slip back below normal averages for early October. Records for today: High 93 (1921)/ Low 31 (1947) / Rain 1.84 (1924)

Today will be our 15th straight below normal day across Chester County. Dreary chilly weather returns later today through early Saturday AM. The heaviest rain looks to stay east of Chesco but up to a 0.50" of rain can't be ruled out especially in eastern spots. The Sun returns on Sunday and we begin a nice warming trend for the first week of October. However, signs point to that being short lived as some chillier weather looks likely to move back in during the 2nd week of the 10th month! Records for today: High 87 (1921) / Low 30 (1947) / Rain 2.97" (2004)