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feloniousq

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Everything posted by feloniousq

  1. I doubt it is snowing at Dulles. I am 9 mi NW and it has been sleet/freezing rain with the freezing rain predominating for the last 30-45 min
  2. some sort of sleet/rain mix in Ashburn
  3. it has also exposed just how many forecasters basically just use the Euro output as their forecast
  4. "Verbatim" is doing a lot of work in that sentence. They might as well have been sampling a different country.
  5. The question might not be if we get below 32 for this "event," it might be if we get below 37.
  6. CWG in with the strong "1-10 inches, low confidence" forecast
  7. lol heard the sleet falling and thought my sprinkler system had burst
  8. Hey - a pretty snowfall that I won't have to shovel, because it will all disappear by sundown. No real threat of the WSW ever verifying, but such is life.
  9. Grass is starting to poke back through even as flakes continue to dump.
  10. I saw a report from Purcellville of 3.6"...seems a bit ambitious but OK
  11. Good lord, some of these flakes are egg-sized
  12. it makes CWG's "we have low to medium confidence that you will get 2-20 inches" forecasts look reasonable because that's literally what the range of guidance is outputting
  13. A 6.6 inch difference between JYO and IAD is pretty nuts. That's about 2 miles per inch.
  14. the euro was garbage for this storm. garbage. it will be very painful for a lot of worshippers on this forum to acknowledge accordingly.
  15. How about the model run last night that had both you and me with 9.5”, 6” coming from the WAA? Any time a WSW fails to verify, it’s a bust, period
  16. Yea I think “King Euro” is downgraded to a Baron of some place out in the sticks. This was a big ol’ bust.
  17. Rates and flake size noticeably improved in the last 10-15 min in Ashburn
  18. watch watch watch watch watch watch
  19. Congrats to the itty bitty piece of Loudoun at the edge of the bridge to Point of Rocks, which is the only place south of the Potomac that the HRRR thinks ever gets a p-type of snow
  20. A coworker in Cincinnati says it’s been pouring rain all day, heavier than expected
  21. It's like the yellows in Loudoun are hitting the river and getting driven back on themselves
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