Stormpc

The chase is more fun than the actual result I think. It lasts a lot longer.

Under an inch...Probably. 5 to .8 before it flipped it to freezing rain during that second batch. Never got above 32. Still at freezing right now. The trees are glazed. Otherwise whatever snow fell is matted own into a sloppy coating. About what I expected. Hoped for 1.5, got half. But for a living right on the shore of the Currituck the temperature was not the problem. Warming aloft did us in and everyone across the south side and away from the peninsula and further north. Still looked really nice for about an hour when everything was covered including the streets. In the end all the ideas of the heaviest snows being south and east of Richmond was correct. Fun little event.

First band ready to push off the coast. Little bit of a lull ready to push into the south side of Hampton Roads and Northeast North Carolina before the Redevelopment out by Rocky Mount comes through. I suspect that will be something other than snow here but it looks real nice now. Everything is covered. Looks like a real storm. 31.0/29. I've got my fix for the year. I'm good. Enjoy this further north. I'm hoping everyone gets a little surprise.

I've got the dreaded huge flakes though. Might pile up quicker but the nose is heading in... you can see it in the reflectivity bright banding. I think that lull will be coming through here within the hour and whatever else comes after that is going to be sleet or freezing rain or just plain rain down here. We will see. I'll probably be sleeping.

31.8 steady light snow everything getting covered including pavement finally. Looks like that heavier band is up across Newport News south of Williamsburg and to the southwest. Look at some traffic cams. Anyway still flakes 14 miles south of VA border

Steady light snow. All of the sleet mixed out. Winds picked up. 33.5 still. Goods are incoming next 90 minutes.

It's happening now. Right about when we all thought. 10:00 p.m. was my guess at start time in this area. 33.5 with spitting snow and Light sleet. Soon as the heavy returns get here we will be in business for a little while before I flip. Hopefully I can get an hour of decent snow. Radar looking pretty decent downstream.

Light snow/sleet mix, 34 Currituck. Just started.

In my opinion that's a great map. Best one I've seen.

I think Northern sections of Norfolk and Virginia Beach can hold on through most of it as long as there's no easterly component to the wind. I think that's where the battle line sets up. Everything south of 264 is gonna flip. My guess. We'll see. Still 6 to 8 hours away from first flakes

No way man!! USA,USA!

I think around the southern edges it didn't do as well but it nailed everything from Fredericksburg up through Baltimore... from the Blue Ridge over to the oceans in Maryland and Delaware to the beaches. It was actually one of the only models that had the northern Edge trimmed properly. Maybe didn't do so hot on the south side but looking beyond just a few spots it did pretty damn well. I would never discount the euro.

Win? Let the event happen before you crown a victor.

I want to see ground truth and what this does the next 12 to 16 hours in the Deep South into South Carolina and western North carolina. Which side of the frozen spectrum they see as compared to what these models are spewing out. So many variables. It's interesting yet comical but it certainly looks like from Newport News up to Richmond there's going to be a good hit.

This is one of those deals where the Western Branch of Chesapeake up near the mmmmmbt tunnel has 3.5 inches while the people down in South Chesapeake and Great Bridge barely have 1.5. Still early.

It's usually dryer than ground truth. Especially in the summertime with storms. Does a pretty poor job actually. Maybe if better with winter events. I don't know

Nice blend of overnight runs still a little all over the place but I think a general consensus is that Metro Richmond and immediate south and east are looking at a good 2-4/3-5 Precipitation transport looks solid now, not spotty with a nice slug overnight Friday/Saturday over top of FRIGID ground. The question is Hampton Rds, which I suspect will differ drastically from just a few miles depending upon latitude. That warm nose looks to come straight from the east Southeast or due south so Norfolk may be snowing with 3 inches on the ground while the heart of Chesapeake is getting a sleet storm and further south into interior Northeast North Carolina just plain old freezing rain or rain with an inch of crust. Still time for changes in either direction but either way it's going to be interesting. Then it gets cold again next week. Maybe even colder than this past week. Impressive winter so far for sure.

EURO kinda same. Dry. If I'm on the east and south side of Richmond down to Toano and sw to Emporia I'm pretty confident with 2-4 inches of snow. Outside those boundaries is a crapshoot.

Probably produce 1-2 for you with hopefully a sleet crust to finish. Something to watch at least. Only had a handful of situations to look at in the last 5 years so we have that. Still early. I like where Norfolk is on this one. Not so much further east or south, toward Coastal Virginia Beach Back Bay and further south. You might get mostly snow

Nice for me. Sloppy slider...OTS. Still wayyy too early.

Nice run for Central Virginia on the gfs. Looks like it's taking steps toward the other globals. Be interesting to see if the ensembles also shifted south and east. If you're in the Richmond area you want it to hold right there. Hampton Roads needs another 50 to 75 MI. Good stuff.

Yes as it stands and is currently modeled right now, it doesn't look like this has much of a chance to produce prolific numbers anywhere outside of the deeper south. 2-4 is just as likely as 1-2 or 4-6. Unless things get together in sync I don't think there's a Max potential for anything over 8 for any of us... but still early and you never know. Anything coming out of the Gulf can do special things, or not. At least there's something to look at.

Friday night/late evening thru mid Saturday...as of right now

GFS on its own now but came back in line a bit to the EURO, CMC, ICON, which are all nice hits for Hampton Roads. Better trends overnight everywhere. The BIGDOG doesn't look like it's happening but that's good news for our Southeast portion of the form.

We down on the coast need weak sauce, southern slider. Or amped solution that is 300 Mi off OBX