
Stormpc
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Everything posted by Stormpc
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Steady light snow. All of the sleet mixed out. Winds picked up. 33.5 still. Goods are incoming next 90 minutes.
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It's happening now. Right about when we all thought. 10:00 p.m. was my guess at start time in this area. 33.5 with spitting snow and Light sleet. Soon as the heavy returns get here we will be in business for a little while before I flip. Hopefully I can get an hour of decent snow. Radar looking pretty decent downstream.
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Light snow/sleet mix, 34 Currituck. Just started.
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In my opinion that's a great map. Best one I've seen.
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I think Northern sections of Norfolk and Virginia Beach can hold on through most of it as long as there's no easterly component to the wind. I think that's where the battle line sets up. Everything south of 264 is gonna flip. My guess. We'll see. Still 6 to 8 hours away from first flakes
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No way man!! USA,USA!
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I think around the southern edges it didn't do as well but it nailed everything from Fredericksburg up through Baltimore... from the Blue Ridge over to the oceans in Maryland and Delaware to the beaches. It was actually one of the only models that had the northern Edge trimmed properly. Maybe didn't do so hot on the south side but looking beyond just a few spots it did pretty damn well. I would never discount the euro.
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Win? Let the event happen before you crown a victor.
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I want to see ground truth and what this does the next 12 to 16 hours in the Deep South into South Carolina and western North carolina. Which side of the frozen spectrum they see as compared to what these models are spewing out. So many variables. It's interesting yet comical but it certainly looks like from Newport News up to Richmond there's going to be a good hit.
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This is one of those deals where the Western Branch of Chesapeake up near the mmmmmbt tunnel has 3.5 inches while the people down in South Chesapeake and Great Bridge barely have 1.5. Still early.
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It's usually dryer than ground truth. Especially in the summertime with storms. Does a pretty poor job actually. Maybe if better with winter events. I don't know
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Nice blend of overnight runs still a little all over the place but I think a general consensus is that Metro Richmond and immediate south and east are looking at a good 2-4/3-5 Precipitation transport looks solid now, not spotty with a nice slug overnight Friday/Saturday over top of FRIGID ground. The question is Hampton Rds, which I suspect will differ drastically from just a few miles depending upon latitude. That warm nose looks to come straight from the east Southeast or due south so Norfolk may be snowing with 3 inches on the ground while the heart of Chesapeake is getting a sleet storm and further south into interior Northeast North Carolina just plain old freezing rain or rain with an inch of crust. Still time for changes in either direction but either way it's going to be interesting. Then it gets cold again next week. Maybe even colder than this past week. Impressive winter so far for sure.
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EURO kinda same. Dry. If I'm on the east and south side of Richmond down to Toano and sw to Emporia I'm pretty confident with 2-4 inches of snow. Outside those boundaries is a crapshoot.
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Probably produce 1-2 for you with hopefully a sleet crust to finish. Something to watch at least. Only had a handful of situations to look at in the last 5 years so we have that. Still early. I like where Norfolk is on this one. Not so much further east or south, toward Coastal Virginia Beach Back Bay and further south. You might get mostly snow
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Nice for me. Sloppy slider...OTS. Still wayyy too early.
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Nice run for Central Virginia on the gfs. Looks like it's taking steps toward the other globals. Be interesting to see if the ensembles also shifted south and east. If you're in the Richmond area you want it to hold right there. Hampton Roads needs another 50 to 75 MI. Good stuff.
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Yes as it stands and is currently modeled right now, it doesn't look like this has much of a chance to produce prolific numbers anywhere outside of the deeper south. 2-4 is just as likely as 1-2 or 4-6. Unless things get together in sync I don't think there's a Max potential for anything over 8 for any of us... but still early and you never know. Anything coming out of the Gulf can do special things, or not. At least there's something to look at.
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Friday night/late evening thru mid Saturday...as of right now
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GFS on its own now but came back in line a bit to the EURO, CMC, ICON, which are all nice hits for Hampton Roads. Better trends overnight everywhere. The BIGDOG doesn't look like it's happening but that's good news for our Southeast portion of the form.
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We down on the coast need weak sauce, southern slider. Or amped solution that is 300 Mi off OBX
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We (Currituck) have a 2 hour delay because of rain. At least it snowed a bit by you. Maybe you luck into an inch tonight so that tomorrow's commute is a mess. That's more impactful than this AM. You're going to get yours saturday.
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I need some miracle front end love then backside action to make this fun.
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An active 14 days in store. I feel pretty good if I was around Richmond or just north for seeing something measurable or appreciable. With room to waffle to the north or south. At least there's something to watch. 4-5 days out is an eternity. Track seems to be locking in. Not going to cut. Nor is it going to jump too far south. This has the looks of a Richmond to DC Beltway special. The cold is very interesting as well. Looks like it keeps reloading through the middle of the month.
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BWI: 19.6" DCA: 14.8" IAD: 25.4 RIC: 6.9" Tiebreaker (SBY): 9.4"
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I'm still trying to figure out what this love affair with Austin Slater is it all about. No idea why this guy is on the playoff roster. I think he got two pinch hits all year and his batting average against lefties, which he is supposedly a specialist against, was under 200. In all it looks like they are a couple players away from being a full team with a solid bench. Not over but not looking good.