Yet he conveniently ignores the euro this time after preaching about how awesome it is and basically mimicking its output for the last 20 years. Makes no sense this time
I still like the 3K output rather than the 12k. A very nice and sizable snow from Richmond through Hampton Roads and Northeast North carolina. That's a great run. No one should be upset about that.
I think we all knew we were tossing that 12z 12K NAM run. It was preposterous. Back to Reality however still a lot of uncertainty
I'll be interested in looking at the snow Maps when it's finished.
Initial thump is 50 Mi South. Let's see what happens when this thing turns the corner like on 12z
Looks nothing like 12z...shunted south but RIC and south look to do ok
I would put more credence in the 3K than the 12K. I can't see 8 in of snow getting into Philly and New York. Now the 3K is a pretty good bomb in the Richmond area without that silly northern Edge.
I'm talking more about the far Northwest and Northern extent of what the 12K is showing. That's completely on its own. There's no doubt we're mixing along the immediate Coast but the precip field looks well overdone
Because the 12K is probably wrong. Has zero support from any other guidance. It happens. I think 3K is probably well overdone as well. I'm rooting for it but it's probably not going to happen.
Talk about a NAM bomb. That's going to juice up every forum from Boston through the southeast. Of course it's suspect. Even the 3K looks overdone when comparing other models. But let's see what the rest of the 12 Z Suite brings us.
That ULL will have great ratios usually and will blow around a ton with those winds on the back side. That's going to create one heck of a mess Thursday morning
THANK YOU @ Ric Airport.
6Z Euro definitely nudged Northwest but only slightly. Trimmed the snow on the southeastern edge and expanded a bit Northwest up the peninsula and towards NOVA but it's probably negligible at this point.