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Stormpc

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Everything posted by Stormpc

  1. Going to be a busy few weeks into February.
  2. The northern extent of the precipitation field always seems to overperform and stretch further north and west than forecast. Models are ever so slightly creeping further Northwest the last 24 hours. For the most part. We can still see more adjustment today into tonight
  3. And it pushes a little further north into Virginia giving us a little breathing room up north.
  4. I hope its not an NC/SC exclusive event. I don't think it will. Still time.
  5. Bad run for Central and anywhere in Southern Va. But with such a tight gradient, at least in HR, all it takes is a 50 mile bump and that's doable in 36 hours.
  6. "These bands of heavy snow in eastern NC andsoutheast VA depict 700-500mb lapse rates >6.5C/km Saturdayafternoon and evening. It is here where not only are 2"/hr snowfallrates achievable, but so is the likelihood for thundersnow. Theintense vertical velocities in eastern NC and southeast VA may...."
  7. So far most all 18Z have trended NW. Not a huge jump but maybe the NW trend has begun. It should be subtle thru tomorrow 12z. But hope its there.
  8. Been in Currituck for 8 years now. I've had three storms of 8+ Plus. Not including last years 13-14 inch Feb storm. We don't do much nickel and diming around here.
  9. Don't look at that app ever again. Throw it out.
  10. I like combining Richmond and Hampton Roads for the same reasons. We are all covered by the Wakefield office so, why not?
  11. EURO gets it done in HR. First time it's actually expanded the precipitation further west and north and overall coverage has improved. Uniform 6 to 12 across the region
  12. Yeah imagine 2 years in a row if that happens. Not sure of anything with this one. Very complicated system. Huge boom and bust potential.
  13. Gonna be a good clean snow. Rarely achieved in these parts. It will tick north with the precip field, IMO, but not enough to get beyond Leesburg to Manchester, at best. Banding is going to be everything for us HR folks. Where it sets up is anyone's guess.
  14. I think he means the overall output from the GFS run. It really cut down the northern extent of the measurable snow
  15. Tonight's 0Z will be interesting to see how much longer it snows in HR and NE NC and how further north the snow gets on the NAM. At 84 it looked like our area was just starting to get into the jackpot stuff.
  16. Possible blizzard criteria IF taken as modeled today for the coast.
  17. Down here in Currituck NC. 33/31. TEMPS been steadily going down. Areas just north and West of me by just a few miles are 32 or below already. There's a chance this next batch of rain brings the temperatures up if it's heavy enough but it's getting a little sketchy. No ADVISORY but may be needed.
  18. Im at a balmy 45 degrees in Currituck. OBX near Hatteras is in low 60s.
  19. New York City: 7.4 Boston: 13.5 Philadelphia: 6.6 Washington DC: 5.2 Hartford: 14 Albany: 16.6 Isp: 7.5
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