Stormpc

GREAT videos thank you @RIC Airport

Looks a lot like the March 1980 North Carolina blizzard. Of course this is just for fun. Very little chance that's happening but an interesting comparison

18z GFS is a coastal shellacking

Anything I get the rest of the way this winter is a bonus. Already had our 7 plus inch event. Blew through climo. I just like to get a taste of some of that colorful snowmap through the tracking process. Doesn't even have to happen. I just like being in the game. I knew when I moved down there I wasn't getting much if anything. I'm surprised I got two events over 6 inches the past 4 years.

Don't say that yet. But I get you. I dare to say it's trending South the past two runs across the board. Let's see which way it goes the next two days. I think Richmond is looking good for something pretty significant either way

Really? Interesting. I saw the Euro was down but I didn't know it was a larger scale issue affecting other things. One of those Ashburn data centers is the possible culprit. Those buildings are hilarious. They're about a quarter mile long and wide and are six cars parked in the lot.

Agree. There's nothing good about ice. Serves zero purpose. Back in the mid-90s through early 2000s we used to get several ice events in NOVA. Nothing much the last 15 years. We can debate about why for days on end. Hopefully that storm next week gets a lot of people involved on this board, from the southeast through new england. Each of these storms have been very regional this year.

The big storm is still on the board on the GFS. Most of us would rather take the Canadian version which has a more offshore and southern track. Pretty nice winter storm for the Middle Atlantic the past 24 hours. Lot more ice than I thought. The snow did exactly what it was supposed to do, and where it was supposed to. We need that Saturday system to go through New England to see how it sets up next week's storm. Exciting times for sure.

Gonna be a LONG week tracking the next one. We should start seeing something consistent by Friday or Saturday, we should assume. Both majors have something on the table for next Wednesday Thursday. Starting to get into Euro's hot range. But give the GFS credit for being pretty good with yesterday's storm. Too far south to start with but it did adjust North but might have been 30 miles or so off on the southern end. That's not terrible. If I'm in Central Virginia away from the coast I'm feeling pretty good about next week at this time.

Very similar to what the Euro was showing as well. We need to keep that storm track south of us.

Yeah it's frustrating. Always were on the fence but looks like you're going to be 20 mi too far south for this one. Maybe the next big burst will cool the column enough to flip you back in the next 90 minutes. Whatever happens between now and four p.m. is the time. After that the column warms all the way. You might be looking at plain old rain by 6:00 p.m. sucks.

I don't think so. Not for you. You're up near the jrb? I think you'll start off with a few hours of snow and sleet. I'm down here right on the Currituck sound and had sleet and snow mixed in. I'm 300 feet from the shoreline about 13 or 14 miles south of the Virginia border. You're going to do better than you think today

Sleet and rain mix in Currituck Wet flakes mixing in. Bodes well for you all further north. It's going to snow for a while up there

Farmville to Lynchburg to Roa currently getting thumped. That's a favorable vector for Ric for this 1st round to get it started.

Got to see how that first finger of precipitation develops. Very possible it sets up just north of Richmond. I don't like the looks of that Graf at all.

KRIC 1.7 Ashland 5 Ruther Glen 7 Fredericksburg 8.5 Woodbridge 7.5 DCA 5.1 BWI 3.8 Norfolk 0 Newport News .5

A lot further south. At least the 12k. Not as warm as I was afraid. Not a bad run for Richmond lots of sleet Edit: Looks fishy. Back to the consecutive double impulse hit from a day or so ago but still looks way too far south for frozen. Doesn't look right to me.

You forced me to look. Looks like the goal posts are narrowing with the edges trimmed on the Southern and Northern sides. Someone's going to get 10 inches of cement.

A little colder with the heavy snow band shifting a little south on the GFS but a lot more sleet on the southern end of that. It's going to be a battle.

Today??

There's no way any model is going to get the extent of the initial warm nose correct. Total boom or bust for Richmond. I would hedge low on the 1-2 range south of 295 in Ric. Marginal events with no antecedent cold isn't the formula. This is a Fredericksburg to DC event. Maybe it comes in hot with a major thump. Never know.

Looks like it moved the axis of the heaviest snow about 25 mi North. Less down in the Tidewater area as well but that's expected. I don't think there's going to be any accumulation south of Williamsburg. Looking great for areas from Ashland to Alexandria RIC... who knows. That's too fine a line. That could be a major bust in either direction.

Keep trucking south. Another 50 miles! You'll still be on the northern side of the best banding and forcing so you'll be good. I need to wet my beak a little bit.

Enjoy it and go to bed because that's a Newport News dream run. Turn off your phone and computer and check back tomorrow. You can't get better than that.