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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Still warmest of all guidance, but it did correct a bit.
  2. CoastalWx
    Still a nice look on the EPS. You'll have chances with that. We'll also need to watch some of these s/w's flying in on the west wide of the trough next 8=9 days or so.
  3. CoastalWx
    I'll sell the HRRR thermals. That ain't getting warmer air past KCON. So Friday aftn is sold on the HRRR.
  4. CoastalWx
    Earlier this morning I thought 4-7....5-8ish. I more confidence in the middle to higher end. I'd probably wait until after 00z runs to up anything. Still some things that need to be worked out. East winds eventually will warm us up to probably 33 if/when it does turn to sleet. But still cold aloft, and there maybe an additional inch or more in the evening as it cools off and the flow aloft is still NE.
  5. CoastalWx
    HRRR looks a little cooler vs 12z.
  6. CoastalWx
    Absolutely. But Ray will respond "easy for us to say.."
  7. CoastalWx
    Here is why that area in interior NE MA and adjacent SNH could do very well. Notice the low level temp gradient near Ray. Now look at those 850 winds out of the east and north of the 850 front. That's kind of what Will and Chris were saying. There is also still weak WAA at 850, so you have a mechanism for some lift. That could be a nice spot with the combo of a CF and that cold, erly flow at 850.
  8. CoastalWx
    Replaced by the GRAF which has been way too cold. But since the weenies asked.... That's actually more realistic than earlier runs.
  9. CoastalWx
    I said where the euro is, not where it will go. LOL. I see nothing wrong where you are currently. My temps will get borderline for a few hours so no jack here by any stretch.
  10. CoastalWx
    Look at that tongue. I'm dying.
  11. CoastalWx
    Sliced off. Manhood revoked.
  12. CoastalWx
    I'd be happy where the euro is if I were you.
  13. CoastalWx
    EPS is pretty cold too.
  14. CoastalWx
    But to Wills point, there is a lot of confluence up there. Probably a bit more than what we are used to in the classic SWFE ‘s. So that should get some respect.
  15. CoastalWx
    Yeah I haven’t looked hard up there, but that’s definitely the case I think. I expect to see pics of the Stowe Gondola shrouded in dendrites.
  16. CoastalWx
    I’d argue you would probably be jack on euro or close to it.
  17. CoastalWx
    Yeah never thought nam into SNe practically, but figured a tick here or there north. Not in opposite direction lol. Still some time left, but if there is a tick north left, at least we have some wiggle room.
  18. CoastalWx
    I mean still time for adjustments, but usually this was the time to see the north ticks.
  19. CoastalWx
    Well it certainly hasn’t been my best winter in guessing trends.
  20. CoastalWx
    Pretty good consensus now aside from the NAM. Was thinking some ticks north were in the cards from some of the other guidance, but so far not yet.
  21. CoastalWx
    Ukie a tad warmer than 00z, but still cold as well.
  22. CoastalWx
    Canadian went south too.
  23. CoastalWx
    That period near dinner time as temps rapidly fall with light snow, could be highway Phil too. At least for you and I.
  24. CoastalWx
    Well I would love to be wrong, but tough for me to buy 10-12".
  25. CoastalWx
    Nice parting gift on the GFS.
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