Jump to content

CoastalWx

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    168,959

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    The point is, many fell in love with things just keeping going to the south, but as myself and Will as well as others have said, those euro solutions are likely too cold. That’s all. I even said it buys us wiggle room. So yea it does matter in southern areas especially.
  2. CoastalWx
    And maybe some light rain.
  3. CoastalWx
    Yep exactly. But when everyone scoffed at the tick idea, well this is what we mean. Luckily this wasn’t the gfs adjusting 150 miles NW like it did in 2007-2009 lol.
  4. CoastalWx
    We tick
  5. CoastalWx
    Yep.
  6. CoastalWx
    Taste the sleet.
  7. CoastalWx
    Yeah these are the ticks. Will matter for southern crowd. Gfs already shaved 3-4” for Taunton. We tried to tell Tblizz.
  8. CoastalWx
    I thought the same.
  9. CoastalWx
    Check please....
  10. CoastalWx
    I would look at 500 and 700 lift and side closer to 500mb. You can use the point and click soundings to help narrow that zone in and find the DGZ. I generally don’t like using 500mb as it starts to get a little high for my liking, but you get the idea. Sometimes the models key in on those areas by showing a band of slightly higher QPF. It may not be much, but that could be a signal for the currier and Ives band.
  11. CoastalWx
    You’ll do better than that.
  12. CoastalWx
    It wouldn’t shock me if euro ticked warmer but I think we’re settling in now. Sleet probably gets to and north of pike, but not for long. That’s my guess.
  13. CoastalWx
    Das Icon looks like a tick north. Again not much.
  14. CoastalWx
    Yeah not by much. That was also pretty cold. Still keeps Boston snow. But yeah those ticks are what I was thinking would happen earlier. We’ll see what 00z varsity models do.
  15. CoastalWx
    I think we’re talking past each other. But I’ll wait until 00z comes in. I never said all in on nam.
  16. CoastalWx
    Wrf nssl is definitely cooler.
  17. CoastalWx
    Different beast
  18. CoastalWx
    It doesn’t mean all models cave to nam, but it’s a reference to something Brian said.
  19. CoastalWx
    I was forecasting these when you were suckling the nipple.
  20. CoastalWx
    FV3 was similar to 12z. Maybe a hair colder? I’m mobile.
  21. CoastalWx
    The That’s how I felt too. It looked more in line synoptically with the other guidance.
  22. CoastalWx
    I could see that. We’ll see what 00z does.
  23. CoastalWx
    Seeing the nam still a little stubborn does make me wonder about the other models.
  24. CoastalWx
    It did get colder though as others have said. Less WAA with primary.
  25. CoastalWx
    NAM still pretty warm aloft.
×
×
  • Create New...