CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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The 50mb vortex is stretched, but doesn't really split. Honestly I could care less what it does. Having it stretched where it is probably helps deliver the cross polar flow.
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I hope it does because I need it for my sanity lol.
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EPS giving the Cape and SE areas hope still.
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That’s a nice look on the GEFs towards the end.
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I do like seeing signs of an arctic intrusion into the lower 48. That would mean the PV is more in favor to help with any confluence.
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Right, that's been tough to do. Some signs that tries to happen towards end of the month.
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The -EPO can do all it wants, but if you dumping troughs into the Baja of CA...you aren't going to do well.
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Gotta watch out for the EPO-no.
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Decent logic.
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Well I'm not saying throw it out totally, but I am viewing it as an outlier until further notice for this specific event.
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Given 12z models so far, I can discount it lol. We still watch, but caution flags all over.
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Now the Canadian stalls SE of the Cape lol.
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Winter 2022-2023 Promises Plenty of Mid Season Mayhem
CoastalWx replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
If someone is passionate about it, I don't see an opportunity as "wasted." -
Canadian gets the Cape good, but a previous low developing on the front sort of prevents the baroclinic zone from backing up too much. Another way to limit retrogression.
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Oh right, I meant 12/31 lol. New Years Eve. Yeah he went postal after jacking a week earlier.
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It's close, wouldn't take much...but again these setups are difficult to work with.
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Grazes cape. Strike 1.
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That was 1/31/08.
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Looks like CC has the RA/SN line just NW of 95 there.
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Jan 2008. They got smoked where he lived near the canal and not much NW of there.
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Yeah. I was thinking that. Need to see the big boy guidance come in with a solid shift.
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To put this into perspective, you want one of the most tenuous ways to get snow, to break right. I'm just saying....these setups are extremely tricky.
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I won't argue haha.
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Reggie is a WSW for PYM to CC.
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Maybe Brett can cancel trip to Cranmore and go to Blue Hill?
