I like what the NHC has. Mentions it could be a cane even near Hispaniola...and then reorganizes quickly after any interaction with the island.
Another option is that it feels a tug NE with the trough off the SE...but then is missed and meanders back NW. That's the euro basically.
If this can still be intact when it gets past Hispaniola, it's going to intensify. I'm not sold on a quick boot like the GFS has at the moment. I would favor a recurve, but I think something hitting the US is not like a 5% or less chance either.
Because for a mean, I find MSLP to be noisy. Seems like H5 vorticity is a better proxy for mean anyways. But, I would like to see the tracks to get the best idea.