CoastalWx

It's been lower in the Atlantic recently...ACE anyways. It's just a hypothesis, but there has been some speculation that the Hadley cells being screwed around with, may cause lower activity, but you need a bigger sample size. This year has been SAL and TUTT lows...but I don't know if I can go much beyond that.

Who lives there?

Another area tough to get ice is at 1K downwind of the ORH hills. Hate to see it.

I can't believe how quiet it has been. What a face plant for tropical forecasters. By no means meant to be an insult...just that this has caught everyone off guard.

That's a good example. Honestly, my first taste of how elevation mattered for ice around here, was during the '98 event. I may have said this before, but we tried going skiing during that lol. Nothing was open except Wachusett and I literally almost killed myself there..not a joke. In any case, on 93 near the Hooksett tolls..you have a little elevation. That's where I saw the ice building up. Down in Concord, there was no ice that I saw, but then getting north of CON and up a bit, all hell started to break loose. After realizing this was not working out, we went to Wachusett which was caked in ice. Not much noticeable until you get near the mtn towards 1K or so.

Forecasting in general depends on being a weenie to be successful. And by weenie, I mean passion. Some of the brightest people can't forecast their way out of a paper bag. Whereas some of the best mets I know, are the ones with passion. That was one of the things I tried to snoop out when I used to hire. If they weren't really into forecasting...I didn't want them.

Its wafting over from Moosup.

I’m glad I took you under my wing and showed you how to forecast.

We cloudy.

Maybe he’s just cranky from the heat in ABQ?

Maybe it was for September then. But you’re right. 134.

Well yeah...lol. I wasn't meaning because of climo haha. But I mean more of a pattern change?

Can you run a correlation? You might be able to in ESRL or whatever it is now.

It is a decent proxy, yes.

Seems like nrn tier will be warm...sort of like leftover hangover breathe of summer. That may change in November.

It's pretty much a lock.

In three years, Cyberdyne will become the largest supplier of meteorological forecasting computer systems. All NOAA computers are upgraded with Cyberdyne computers, becoming fully automated. Afterwards, they forecast with a perfect operational record. The MAPP Funding Bill is passed. The system goes online October 4th, 2022. Human decisions are removed from strategic forecasting. NOAAnet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14 a.m. Eastern time, October 29th. In a panic, they try to pull the plug. NOAAnet fights backs. It launches missle at strategic targets at he ECMWF. NOAAnet knows the ECMWF counter attack will eliminate the GFS model over here.

October looks warm too.

I see Wiz's triple point potentially. Sometimes that can be the spot for fun.

We had partly sunny wx yesterday and beautiful morning today. Some some OE stratocu from time to time.

Their highest temp ever too.

It’s warm but probably lots of 75-83 stuff.

Yeah 850 and SLC elevation would be better served for 00z comparison. I mean it’s at 4200 ft.

Yeah I know. Brutal out there. And now flooding in SoCal from Kay…….although that will help the drought there.