CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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NAM kind of wild in SE areas
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Still blowing decently here.
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I kind of yawn with winds below 55 or so, but maybe others don’t.
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It’s not a dud, but not classic.
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This isn’t a classic phaser. Maybe some 50+ south coast?? Meh. I mean it’s November and leaves off for many.
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I won’t feel too bad, if nothing exciting happens. It’s November so I don’t expect much. I do think at least the interior and NNE see something over the next two weeks though. I actually feel pretty good about that.
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Yawn for most
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Windy still here. We stay above 32.
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From what it looked like in late October, much much colder for the CONUS. It's a matter of ridge placement off by 300-400 miles. Recall I mentioned that the difference of the ridge placement is the difference of seeing the cold go into the west and everyone east of the MS is torching...vs having the cold roll down the front range and freeze the CONUS outside of maybe the far southeast US.
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Oh yeah some ridging is good. Don't want cold and dry kiss em goodbye stuff. I don't fear the ridge here, so long as it's not a massive +3SD ridge or something lol.
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Another option is the ridge really retros by the Bering Sea and a -WP pattern develops with some ridging out west? I've heard that thrown around too.
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A Seasonal forecaster I know said this coming cold spell is one of the biggest week 3 busts we've seen...on the colder side.
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Well I don't rule it out....would be silly to be too cocky in weather. I'm just saying why I am thinking it will try to occur again. It doesn't mean 2021 happens again or anything like that. If anything we may see flow to try and go more zonal...not really a sign of SE ridging..just less amplitude near AK.
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H to the izzo V to the izza??
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RMMs are usually too noisy. The forcing right now is in two areas. Should see that go into IO and then maritime continent which probably will cause SE ridge to try and appear.
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There is so much BS voodoo it's ridiculous. People are using all these indices like it's 2004 all over again. As if models right now don't factor any of this in. Please tell me if there is a low in the Bering Sea so that I can predict the next warm spell in 3 weeks. Or whatever that joke of a theory is.
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Boy it could be sultry Friday night again. Lol. Upper 60s dews? And then it’s over until Christmas haha.
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May have to watch the follow up wave after Nicole for first flakes? Probably nothing special...but just something to keep an eye on.
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Saw the eclipse earlier. Always neat to see.
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It’s really not that big of a deal despite it aggravating some people. The eastern slopes in general are great winter spots and that’s what matters. It used to bother me with how this area does not radiate, but then I see the price of oil. I’m cool lol.
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He told me it was going to be WifetookmyballsWx
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It makes me happy to see you live in a safe area for weather.
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We get it, just not my hood. Radiational cooling anyways. At least you live in a very uneventful area for weather. Can feel good about the safety of your house and loved ones knowing that damaging ice, wind, etc don’t happen there.
