CoastalWx

Where was he the other 11?

I will say guidance around the 11th 12th 13th seems to be a little volatile. So it wouldn’t shock me if that window is a little shaky. But I mean overall I can’t complain. EPS really looks good to me. Its too early to get too deterministic with storm chances imo. I just try to look at it from a broad or holistic point of view. Everything I see looks pretty good.

Shocked

I see no issues on the EPS compared to 00z. Maybe even slightly better in 11-15 day.

This is true, but birthday party will help. Rainy days make me become like Jack Nicholson in The Shining.

I think about 15-20% of the posts are going to be readable over the next 10 days.

It's typically a massive internet hormone this time of year.

Saturday and a wedgy event with cold rain until the last minute for many next week? Looks on track to me.

Pretty sure Will was not enthusiastic about it. I said it was something to watch for NNE and commented again to watch it (thinking maybe nrn and western areas here in SNE may get something wintry) ...but both of us said more or less it was a long shot in most areas of SNE.

I said two weeks ago post 12/5. Looks pretty good to me. Go ahead and cry about a 2 day delay.

What?? I'm talking about the event next week. Beer.

That's never been a real chance here. Just one poster in NE CT at 995' that bought it.

See I can't function like that...12/25/10 was bad enough pissing off the wife. Would be nice to see family too...but I get your point.

I dunno...that would sort of ruin the Holiday. I'm good with several inches falling that day or having people buried alive two days before or after Christmas.

Just not enough buns for this.

Bingo. Give this man a milf.

If you are going to analyze every 10 meter height rise or fall, you’re going to be hospitalized. When I look at the big picture (like did the blocking weaken rapidly or Pacific go to crap etc) I don’t see anything noteworthy. Ensembles by nature will always have minor fluctuations every 12 hrs. It’s up to the person looking at them to decipher trends. Those trends take a few days to figure out.

It’s refreshing not to see hr 384 clown maps when I look at this board.

Always tossed beyond day 5. But…….they can be a barometer (no pun intended) to gauge a pattern. For instance in 13-14 and 14-15 they really gave you an idea of the magnitude of cold that we could see with the H5 pattern. Storm details are more nuanced so I’m not sure the value there, but they can show potential too. In our case it’s anywhere from weenie solutions yesterday to more cold and dry looks from overnight. The ensemble guidance overnight continues to promote a pretty good looking pattern with an improving Pacific later in the 11-15 day.

Nothing new today to report.

Was kind of a banded deal too which is what you’d expect with a past mature Miller-A but broke the 2’ cherry finally. It was spread out too. I think we started with some OE at like 3pm and didn’t end until 8pm next day.

Looks like 1.15 here

He’s still hanging

Wow what a fropa. Downpour and wicked windy.