CoastalWx

I have more faith in a low backing in vs the RedSox FO.

I heard some interesting responses as to why the pattern did not move forward as anticipated 2 weeks or so ago. Over the last two months each of the MJO passages were followed by a big downwelling couplet. This latest one has not featured that and in fact combined with a standing wave at the dateline. So there might have been enhanced mass transport north...IE fueling the PAC jet. We finally are seeing a Nino response. I think once that subsides it will help force more of an Aleutian low. Indeed you can see that on guidance.

EPS trying for a surprise at day 6.

Kevin hoping for a reach around. Not the first time I’ve heard this.

Yep.

Man squalls approaching Methuen.

We had one good storm in Feb with a very cold shot after for several days. That was winter.

Weeklies haven't been usable lately. Should go back to being run 2x a week.

EPS is definitely improving in the 11-15 day.

Euro is rains to Le Quebec Plaines.

That whole thing with Tommy Cutlets and his agent is like a meme. It's just LOL.

Can you hear the giggles from here?

GEFS a little interesting.

I think that was my "unless..." example though? Wasn't there a more N-S front?

I'm just using an old man rule of thumb. It's hard to get ZR from a coastal. Unless, we had a sharp front aligned more N-S and stalled over the Cape I suppose.

This probably would be a rain to sleet or snow deal if it works out...I feel like icing would be minimal. JMHO.

That was enhanced by winds. Otherwise it would be flaccid.

I definitely would keep an eye on that system early next week. Low chance, but like Will said that high building in this time of year is always kind of an eyebrow raiser. The question is how much moisture is around to play with.

Glad you conceded that your climo is like NYC/NJ

Voiceover for the loss.

That’s set up early next week is one of the most bizarre things I’ve ever seen.

I like to see a little bit more of a better airmass on the mean, but yeah, maybe closer to New Year’s?

Totally. Been thinking that for a few days now.

I hate posting something negative because then everyone throws themselves off their local bridge, but I also thing it's important to be objective.

Wolfie wants to hear positivity.