CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Won’t complain about today other than the mud.
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I think some of you take the trolling a little too serious. It’s clearly a joke when you see some of the posts. I laugh, don’t take it seriously…and just whatever.
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So it will actually turn out that post 1/5 is when we see changes. At least that didn’t get pushed to 1/15.
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What’s wrong with giving month by month details using seasonal guidance, analogs, and how Fall is progressing? It’s part fun and part science based. To me, that is a lot more science based than doing a CPC blanket warm SE/cool NW in a 3 month composite.
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Is there a meme to sum up this situation?
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Sounds like something shown back in the 70s on Kneeland St.
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I’ll take a foot of mash and you can have the 18” of powder.
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Even near you that month left a little on the table. Not much after the first week.
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It is weird, but kind of a refreshing change. At least as currently modeled. It’s got my interest anyways.
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That was a frigid month though. Couple of huggers to start.
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This active PAC jet is Nino like. So one thing I do like seeing, are the modeled coastals as this is a pattern conducive to those. Obviously Ptype to be determined, but for those tired of Nina, this a refreshing look.
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I wouldn’t worry about deterministic runs this far out anyways. I feel like all guidance has a signal for something. Regardless of what happens, that seems to be when the door opens to more of a potential wintry look. However, it is not a cold look overall. GEFS continue to look better than the other guidance, although EPS is workable, especially interior.
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00z Gfs laughs at George.
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Scooter high Scooter low, show me that, and it will snow.
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I have a much better shot at 3/15 for a block buster than 12/15. Late month it gets harder but can happen. Just like early December snows can happen.
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You miss the whole point. December is not a snowy month overall. Snowfall doesn’t tail off at ORH until after 3/15 and more like late month. Deal with it.
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In the higher elevations the max temp is colder early to almost mid March compared to early to mid December. You continue to make stuff up.
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Even the euro hints at something so we’ll see. Love seeing the man highs press in.
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Looks like a lot of sleet/snow mix here and cold at the low levels. I’ll take it.
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Yeah just noting a step in the right direction. Definitely low confidence. Would like to see this continue for 3 days or so.
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EPS looks a bit better today.
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Beer
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Yeah it’s a wonky flow courtesy of the Pacific. Sometimes those you can take advantage of lousy patterns of the airmass and s/w are timed right.
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March is an important month for snowfall. I get the solar angle argument, but the numbers don’t lie.
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Here’s the Pacific driving the bus. Tblizz in the back.
