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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. That's a decent HP too. Doesn't lift out as the storm approaches. We watch.
  2. I don't think Wildcat had that much. It probably was 0.8" lol.
  3. 12/9 won't work for me. I'll try to make 12/2. Might be later in aftn. I'll let you know.
  4. It’s also not the same pattern as we had last year. There’s only briefly a negative PNA. Just kind of a crappy Pacific.
  5. I mentioned the PV last week so nothing new there. This is the look I expected before some of the guidance got weenie-ish for a few days. Hit the snooze button for 2-3 weeks I think. Maybe somehow we get a well timed event.
  6. Nam is pretty warm. I generally don’t like to be on the SE side of that cutoff, but I guess you have a decent airmass to start.
  7. It’s a good pattern to lay down some nice pack in Canada and down into NNE in the early season. I like seeing that.
  8. Yep. We’d be torching without it.
  9. It depends on the environmental pressure, but in general I think 925 is closer to 2500’. I know 850 so maybe closer to 5000. Maybe like 4800’.
  10. This was the milder PAC look that was modeled before any block. That block is probably helping prevent a very warm look.
  11. Yeah GEFs have a better look. End of EPS would be ok.
  12. Man let’s 6z gfs haha. Pattern overall looks borderline in SNE going forward. Going to need something well timed. The block peak coincides with a lousy PAC look. I think anything in SNE generally waits until after the first week when the PAC improves somewhat.
  13. +\- 2. Let’s get the airplane to slide off the runway with ASOS temps of 34F. Sounds reasonable.
  14. 13-14 was not a pack winter despite the snowfall. Think I had near 80” but frequent cutters. A nice example of EP Ohno.
  15. Definitely a more NNE look to start December. Any chance down here probably waits until after first week.
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