Nice little overachiever in lower spots. That’s what happens when you have a decent airmass, but also good rates to help offset low level warm air advection.
I noticed today that it was really humping the ridgelines and throwing major QPF that way. However, there was an elevation component to radar precipitation estimates at State College. But, I think HRRR is going a little wild with that.
Even below that. The cold from 925 up and eroding rather quickly from SW-NE. Maybe far NW CT gets some. Wouldn't shock me if Kevin started as snow or mix.