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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Still work to do. Going to wait until tonight I think for any RI.
  2. There is a weakness at H5 that to me, is allowing for a move into Apalachee Bay.
  3. Euro also right where HAFS-A and HAFS-B are. near and just SE of Newport FL.
  4. Looks like HAFS-A and HAFS-B have landfall in Apalachee Bay just near and SE of Newport FL.
  5. Sounds like a fun town. I fear this being closer to TLH.
  6. Looking at the potential west or east moves...while I understand a stronger storm may be more responsive to beta drift off to the NE...you can see a weakness extending NW into LA at 500mb. I don't necessarily see a kicker to the east and that weakness concerns me for perhaps a track on the western side of the envelope at landfall.
  7. Yeah definitely agree with that.
  8. 6z GFS would be a hell of an event for TLH.
  9. Steinhatchee seems a good place to post up for now. I agree it could be a bit NW of that.
  10. I feel like it could really take off prior to landfall.
  11. I'm not buying a 4 either. It has about 24 hours and still trying to get its act together.
  12. HWRF and HMON aren't my go tos really. HAFS I don't have a lot of experience with.
  13. A lot of the intensity models haven't strayed from strong 2 borderline 3.
  14. Imagine waking up needing to pee and the sheets are wrapped around you and stuck from sweat. Like a mummy. You try and try to get them off, but time runs out and you just have to pee in the sheets.
  15. How many pairs of bed sheets have you gone through as you tear them in half from tossing and turnings all night?
  16. Right. If it’s intensifying right until landfall that allows the strongest winds to mix down.
  17. It’s still got some kinks to work out. I’d say later today and tonight is the opportunity to take off.
  18. They wanted COC. They got it. Gonna be tough paving and cutting down forests.
  19. Definitely looks a little steiny coming up after tomorrow. We welcome him.
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