CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Separates the men from the boys in forecasting.
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I was just thinking.....when have they ever had this so far in advance?
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BOX heavily weighing marine influence there. Although not sure Cape Ann beaches are getting more than Brockton.
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These are the things I ponder in my mind lol. The plus factors are a cold 925-850. Good lift at times into DGZ. Negative are SSTs around 43ish. It makes it hard because the beaches could struggle for an inch, 3 miles away is plastered, and 8 miles away is 9" of paste. I've seen it many times. If one variable is off, it changes drastically. Logan is a bitch to call.
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Pretty stout erly flow. I do think you are in a better spot, but could be a lot of 33F snow which isn't the most efficient accumulator. But, if we can pound with -3C at 925..maybe wetbulb to 32 or so. Beware the 10:1 maps here that's all. Once the Cf comes through Sunday morning, it's fluff again. But go to Foxboro at 200' and they'll have no issue as of now.
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10-50mb PV crying for mama. That's good to see.
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Not sure I would go that high yet.
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Wow, lots still hanging on the west side. Thanks fellas.
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How does it look at hr 102? Spread wise.
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I know it. EPS is stubborn.
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That tightened up quicker than Kevin's pants during bear week at P-Town.
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Must be some weenie members of the EPS because from hr 96-102 that's a good shift WNW.
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Euro loves the inside runners.
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Looks like a big WAA thump from 850 LLJ that envelops us. And then yeah, kind of turns into a weenie band after 12z Sunday morning. I was just playing around at the different levels. Not quite the classic thermal packing and H7 back bent WF sig until Sunday morning or so. But, there is good speed convergence.
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I think the mid level magic per Euro may get going more at the end when H7 closes off and you get some thermal packing at that level from near PWM to Brian. I do think there is a decent CF signal near you, might be NW of you initially down to maybe near 495/90. That weenie QPF max seems to line up near that feature.
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The initial S/W is right on the coast so I think between RAOBs and satellite...probably pretty good there. The others are more tomorrow and tomorrow night. There is ALOT of shit flying around. Even the Nctrl US had a big change from 00z with a small s/w.
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Euro looks colder initially for the 10th.
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That's close here. Any further ticks and Ray gets his bedtime fantasy. Verbatim we take though.
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That's a great loop if you get the chance to see. H5 vorticity catching up and helping slow the low down.
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Great hit SNH to nrn RI.
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GFS BUFKIT is like 5-6" of glop for places like Plymouth. All snow, but probably pretty wet.
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Going to need it if that PV is there.
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GEM ensembles on the outer cape haha.
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GFS of yore.
