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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. I noticed a small change at H5 is really have an effect on the precip shield. The low MSLP itself didn't shift 80 miles or something like that.
  2. It's possible the euro is too far south with the QPF, but also possible we see the GFS and NAM make south adjustments.
  3. There's no real cold so even with the trends, it doesn't help a whole lot. Certainly better than it going over the canal for sure. The other thing is that if this somehow does shift and brings the best moisture only to the south coast, that hurts. Need the rates to help with the wetbulbing. I'm hoping this is finally a good storm for once. It's literally been 2 years of looking at models and feeling disappointed.
  4. Scooter knows his setups. This is the 80th time in two years with another garbage airmass to start. I was thinking 5-8 this morning. Maybe it could be higher, but it probably will take awhile to get going.
  5. Temps. Yeah I think it will need to be consistent heavy echoes when it's like -2 to -3C at 925. At least we aren't fighting WAA and east winds. But with all that, many models are like 33-34 for a long time. Just has me spooked a bit. But we could drop to like 32.5 if it consistently pounds and it'll stack.
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