CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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EPS definitely tamer than the op, but definitely some variables to figure out with this s/w.
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No it wouldn’t, I said that earlier. Given the s/w train across the US, definitely not. I just meant that if you’re hoping that sampling would help, it’s not for another day.
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I don’t think you’ll see it that early, but if the trend stopped at 00z it’s not a bad thing.
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First glance seems like 18z EPS maybe a little drier vs 12z, but no huge jumps or anything.
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See above. I honestly don’t think there is a significant enough of a reason to warrant those thoughts.
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The off hour opinion of accuracy is so 2000. Remote sensing is so good right now. And if anything we have lost RAOBs and need more remote sensing.
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Yeah I noticed it yesterday, but seemed like enough separation for a moderate deal. I mean look at the 6 hr changes from 12z to 18z. Clearly they saw something. That’s pretty wild. Like Will said, maybe the second one sharpens a bit and helps out the 2nd half. I would rather my chances be on the first s/w being stronger though.
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The suppression risk in my mind was more to do with this sliding south and being compressed from the north. I didn’t really expect the s/w to attenuate into a mid level queef and have the one behind it playing games. Although it was getting my attention yesterday.
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That mess of shortwaves is what concerns me. We’ll wait another 24 to even out the jumps.
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Put a bat to my head at this point.
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Would be nice to catch a break for once.
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H5 is very different from 6 hrs ago. S/W to the west is sharper and catches up. Initial S/W deamplifies to nothing.
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A bottle of Jack Daniels?
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It's mild too. LOL.
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Slides out south. Not much away from S coast.
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I literally was about to post that lol. It might be.
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It's such a POS vortmax driving the initial low.....I honestly would not be shocked if that happened.
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Ends up being a decent solution after those frames.
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Why did you move so far awey?
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Wow!
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Saw a couple commenting at that idea....calling it garbage etc when euro came out.
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SST's slowly coming down to 43-44. Good rates and those cold temps at 925 would be just fine. But 15-20DBZ shit won't do much. Might even get a little mini CJ inland with winds at 925 coming in from the ESE and undoubtedly cold temps at the surface.
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Ha, not far from me. Cool.
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If it's coming down good, it will wetbulb to 32 or below even at BOS. Part of why I'd like to see the heavier stuff move in.
