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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Yeah because it looks meh. It is what it is. I can lie if you want.
  2. The Irony is that the mild down later on in the month was forecasted 5-6 weeks out and then faded up until a couple of days ago. Whaddya know. 5-6 weeks out it was hinted at.
  3. Why don’t people scream and yell at me for my thoughts later in December? Oh that’s right, because I said it could be favorable and this place is loaded with weenies. No howling and growling there lol.
  4. What’s the big deal with saying first half of December may suck, but later on in the month looks more favorable? First half usually sucks anyways.
  5. lol I definitely can. You act like that’s impossible to forecast.
  6. It will Be BN for a few days but a torch month is a lock. Top tier torch too.
  7. People do long range for a living and it’s skillful to have an idea of the long range look 4-6 weeks out. Can it be wrong, sure but overall there is skill. Other than a few passing cold fronts, it doesn’t look great. I’d feel better late December.
  8. Nobody wants to hear negativity, but it is what it is. Deal. At least it’s not a torch.
  9. It’s fake. Areas away from city and coast in the lower elevations below 30.
  10. Maybe NNE and interior areas can score a wintry event if timed right late month or early December. Said that 3 times. Otherwise meh pattern.
  11. It’s gonna blow. A few chilly days and back to Autumn in December. Yay.
  12. Nah we said there was a window for a cool down. Right back to autumn in December. Between now and then it goes AN again.
  13. If Ginxy’s winter call is right, 100+” for you.
  14. Definitely a cooler look to end the month. Nothing averaging super cold..but cooler.
  15. That's an impressive deep dive. Good stuff. I really haven't paid much attention to the warm poo stuff, but I just plotted precip rate since 1/1/24 and can see that in the same area as the VP stuff shows above. It's interesting that the SST anomalies in the area where convection drives the pattern aren't very warm from an anomaly standpoint...but do increase with latitude as you head toward Japan...water is warm there as well and can help influence the pattern.
  16. I agree. Hoping we can get something fun. But I’m a broken weenie.
  17. Yeah. You’re losing the CAA so I’m not sure they’ll get much colder than 32-33. Just my guess. Maybe if they hang onto a light NW wind they could. But 22? lol.
  18. I’ll say this. If we get a 6”+ event, I’m lying nude balls and weenie facing up while drinking a beer.
  19. I actually wouldn’t differ snowfall wise from what you have. The weenie in me deep down thinks we’re due for a decent winter, but I’m not confident this winter is the one that will do it.
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