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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    I think after whatever happens next week, my gut says we stein for several days with the cold, and then wait until maybe after the 5th or so.
  2. CoastalWx
    Let’s shut down 93.
  3. CoastalWx
    Exactly
  4. CoastalWx
    No later Feb
  5. CoastalWx
    I can’t get mad at something looking worse from a few weenie progs over a week out in late November. All these solutions from flat to rain into Maine are on the table.
  6. CoastalWx
    People have to remember not to lock in 7-10 days out.
  7. CoastalWx
    AEMATT?
  8. CoastalWx
    “GFS looks good so far..” AKA, Tobin looks good so far.
  9. CoastalWx
    Canadian is amped. Cold rain for many.
  10. CoastalWx
    It’s marginal at 925. Clowns may be too bullish.
  11. CoastalWx
    Strung out look though.
  12. CoastalWx
    Very marginal. But better deeper interior. Maybe it flashes over at the end.
  13. CoastalWx
    3-4 weeks out is more right than wrong. People make big money trying to forecast that. Otherwise, there would be no work there. It’s not like batting .800 but there is skill there. The last two years it’s been way more right than wrong. But we had good MJO constructive interference. This one time we had destructive interference.
  14. CoastalWx
    He thinks it’s the 1950s and we have no skill beyond day 2. We are examining caterpillars, sticking finger in the air, and judging clouds when we forecast.
  15. CoastalWx
    The idea of December to start poorly is also supported currently by MJO. But that wave is weak and perhaps overpowered by other things going on in the Pacific. Either way, I hope we can take advantage of this.
  16. CoastalWx
    Eh, we have skill there. Sometimes it doesn’t work out. It’s possible it’s delayed too which would stink.
  17. CoastalWx
    Yep. I don’t think I had an event more than 3” last winter.
  18. CoastalWx
    Temp is dropping and mix elevation seems to be near 700’ or so per KBOX CC.
  19. CoastalWx
    Some models sink the -NAO south and squash things, but I’m not worrying about that now. That ridge position out west is not a suppression look so maybe once the ridge in the Davis Straits weakens that may help? In any case, for early in the season I can’t complain about this look. Of course expectations in check.
  20. CoastalWx
    Yeah sure hope so. After 1000+ days of not seeing a 4”+ event, let’s get something to go right.
  21. CoastalWx
    41.7 here. Raw AF. Far cry from where I just came from lol.
  22. CoastalWx
    Skynet Euro definitely more offshore for Black Friday.
  23. CoastalWx
    Good bright banding on radar.
  24. CoastalWx
    About 2.3 here total. Much needed.
  25. CoastalWx
    Definitely chance of rain. But I’m not gonna complain in late November.
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